- North Carolina (15-11) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Virginia (14-12)
- Total (Over/Under): 130.5 points
- North Carolina / Virginia TV channel: ESPN
The North Carolina Tar Heels (15-11) visit John Paul Jones Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers (14-12) on Feb. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Charlottesville, VA.
North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The North Carolina vs. Virginia Over/Under is 130.5 total points.
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North Carolina vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Carolina | -2.5 -115 | O 130.5 -115 | -150 |
| Virginia | +2.5 -105 | U 130.5 -105 | +125 |
North Carolina vs Virginia Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 59.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
North Carolina vs Virginia Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 57.9% confidence for today’s game.
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North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- North Carolina have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 27 games (+1.90 Units / 2% ROI)
Virginia Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+8.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+8.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games at home (+6.75 Units / 4% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.95 Units / 23% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has a 15-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.85 Units / 9.93% ROI).
- 16-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 1.71% ROI
- 13-13 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -4.88% ROI
- 13-13 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -4.56% ROI
Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Virginia has a 15-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.9 Units / 9.76% ROI).
- 17-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 6.09% ROI
- 11-16 when betting the Over for -6.8 Units / -22.7% ROI
- 16-11 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 13.56% ROI
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has 349 offensive rebounds on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has 677 defensive rebounds this season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has averaged 10.2 turnovers per game (235 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
North Carolina has a 38% free throw rate (1,302 free throw attempts/3,445 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 31%
Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (883 assists/ 474 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.2
Virginia has averaged 8.5 turnovers per game (474 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (299 assists/ 189 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (364 assists/ 193 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (677 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (807 points/717 shots) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.30
North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (282/717) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%
North Carolina has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (677 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1
Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia has allowed 24.1 points per game (555 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6
Virginia has allowed 24.1 points per game (555 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6
Virginia has allowed 55.2 points per game (1,931 points/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 68.1
Virginia has allowed 59.6 points per game (953 points/16 games) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.1
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