North Dakota State vs St. Thomas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 10

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St. Thomas head coach Johnny Tauer instructs players from the sideline as they play against Creighton during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game on Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Omaha, Neb. (AP Photo/Rebecca S. Gratz)
(AP Photo/Rebecca S. Gratz)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 10, 2024, 12:18 PM
  • St. Thomas (16-11) is a -4.5 point favorite vs North Dakota State (11-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
  • North Dakota State / St. Thomas TV channel: ESPN+

The North Dakota State Bison (11-16) visit Denny Sanford PREMIER Center to take on the St. Thomas Tommies (16-11) on Mar. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Sioux Falls, SD.

St. Thomas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The North Dakota State vs. St. Thomas Over/Under is 133.5 total points.

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North Dakota State vs. St. Thomas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Dakota State+4.5 -110O 133.5 -110+165
St. Thomas -4.5 -110U 133.5 -110-200

North Dakota State vs St. Thomas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts St. Thomas will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Dakota State vs St. Thomas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Dakota State will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • North Dakota State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 away games (+10.65 Units / 74% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • North Dakota State have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • St. Thomas (MN) has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.45 Units / 39% ROI)
  • St. Thomas (MN) have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • St. Thomas (MN) has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+4.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • St. Thomas (MN) has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • St. Thomas (MN) has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 3 games (+3.45 Units / 57% ROI)

North Dakota State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Dakota State has a 11-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.7 Units / -24.96% ROI).

  • 12-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -1.16% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.45 Units / -11.22% ROI

St. Thomas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

St. Thomas has a 16-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.85 Units / 12.5% ROI).

  • 16-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -3.38% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI

North Dakota State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Dakota State has a TS% of 50% this season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

North Dakota State has averaged 1.31 points per shot (1,920 points/1,461 shots) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

North Dakota State has an eFG% of 55% this season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

North Dakota State has an eFG% of 55% this season — 2nd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 52%

St. Thomas Offensive Stats & Trends:

St. Thomas has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (342 assists/ 210 TOs) this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 1.2

St. Thomas has averaged 8.8 turnovers per game (210 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

St. Thomas has averaged 8.8 turnovers per game (210 turnovers/24 games) this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 10.6

St. Thomas has an eFG% of 56% this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 52%

North Dakota State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Dakota State has averaged 4.2 steals per game (245 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

North Dakota State has averaged 25.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,496 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.2

North Dakota State has averaged 25.0 defensive rebounds per game (625 rebounds/25 games) this season — 4th best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.5

North Dakota State has averaged 4.6 steals per game (115 steals/25 games) this season — 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

St. Thomas Defensive Stats & Trends:

St. Thomas has averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (525 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

St. Thomas has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (155/483) this season — best among Summit Teams ; League Avg: 35%

St. Thomas has averaged 5.9 steals per game (338 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 5.5

St. Thomas has allowed 63.1 points per game (1,515 points/24 games) this season — best among Summit Teams ; League Avg: 73.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.