North Texas vs Florida Atlantic Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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Florida Atlantic guard Johnell Davis (1) gets a basket on a dunk against Fairleigh Dickinson in the second half of a second-round college basketball game in the men's NCAA Tournament in Columbus, Ohio, Sunday, March 19, 2023. Florida Atlantic defeated Fairleigh Dickinson 78-70. (AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
(AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2024, 10:58 AM
  • Florida Atlantic (10-10) is a -9.5 point favorite vs North Texas (10-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
  • North Texas / Florida Atlantic TV channel: ESPN2

The North Texas Mean Green (10-6) visit Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena to take on the Florida Atlantic Owls (10-10) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Boca Raton, FL.

Florida Atlantic is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic Over/Under is 132.5 total points.

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North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Texas+9.5 -110O 132.5 -110+375
Florida Atlantic -9.5 -110U 132.5 -110-500

North Texas vs Florida Atlantic Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Florida Atlantic will win this college basketball game with 83.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Texas vs Florida Atlantic Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Florida Atlantic will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • North Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 32 games (+17.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 31 games (+13.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • North Texas have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 32 games (+12.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • North Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+9.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic has hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 35 games (+24.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+2.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 38 games (+2.25 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+1.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 38 games (+0.55 Units / 1% ROI)

North Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Texas has a 9-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.4 Units / 13.64% ROI).

  • 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 4.03% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / -4.56% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.85 Units / -4.82% ROI

Florida Atlantic Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida Atlantic has a 10-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.1 Units / -4.98% ROI).

  • 15-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +12 Units / 7.87% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Over for +1.05 Units / 4.76% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Under for -3.1 Units / -14.12% ROI

North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Texas has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (190 assists/ 212 TOs) this season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

North Texas has averaged 65.5 points per game (3,667 points/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

North Texas is shooting 36% from three (143/398) this season — 3rd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

North Texas has averaged 10.8 assists per game (607 assists/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Florida Atlantic Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida Atlantic is shooting 49% (602/1,231) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Florida Atlantic has averaged 83.4 points per game (1,667 points/20 games) this season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.2

Florida Atlantic has averaged 1.35 points per shot (1,667 points/1,231 shots) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Florida Atlantic has an eFG% of 56% this season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

North Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Texas has allowed 56.8 points per game (3,178 points/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.0

North Texas has allowed 5.2 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

North Texas has averaged 6.8 steals per game (123 steals/18 games) this season — 5th lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

North Texas has allowed 58.7 points per game (1,057 points/18 games) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 71.7

Florida Atlantic Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida Atlantic has averaged 27.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,601 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Florida Atlantic has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (3,990 points/3,513 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Florida Atlantic has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (321/961) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Florida Atlantic has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (1,443 points/1,223 shots) this season — 5th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.19


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.