North Texas vs SMU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 11

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SMU head coach Rob Lanier during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Houston, Thursday, Jan. 5, 2023, in Houston.
(AP Photo/Kevin M. Cox)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 11, 2024, 8:58 AM
  • SMU (12-9) is a -5.5 point favorite vs North Texas (12-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 127.5 points
  • North Texas / SMU TV channel: ESPNU

The North Texas Mean Green (12-8) visit Moody Coliseum to take on the SMU Mustangs (12-9) on Feb. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Dallas, TX.

SMU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The North Texas vs. SMU Over/Under is 127.5 total points.

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North Texas vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Texas+5.5 -110O 127.5 -110+200
SMU -5.5 -110U 127.5 -110-250

North Texas vs SMU Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Texas vs SMU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Texas will cover the spread with 55.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • North Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 33 games (+20.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • North Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 33 games (+11.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • North Texas have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+5.45 Units / 6% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 29 games (+12.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 29 games (+5.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.85 Units / 5% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.55 Units / 28% ROI)

North Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Texas has a 11-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.25 Units / 10.25% ROI).

  • 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -8.56% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Over for -3.1 Units / -14.12% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Under for +1.05 Units / 4.76% ROI

SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

SMU has a 12-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.2 Units / 13.22% ROI).

  • 14-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.6 Units / 7.88% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Over for -5.3 Units / -21.86% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Under for +3.15 Units / 13.04% ROI

North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Texas has averaged 65.5 points per game (3,932 points/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

North Texas has averaged 10.7 assists per game (642 assists/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

North Texas has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (225 assists/ 254 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

North Texas has 16.4 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.6

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:

SMU is shooting 68% from the free throw line (696/1,024) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%

SMU has averaged 16.2 assists per game (373 assists/23 games) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 13.2

SMU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (373 assists/ 263 TOs) this season — tied for best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

SMU is shooting 69% from the free throw line (269/390) this season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%

North Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Texas has allowed 59.0 points per game (2,595 points/44 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 70.9

North Texas has allowed 57.4 points per game (3,441 points/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.1

North Texas has averaged 23.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,383 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 35th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

North Texas has allowed 5.3 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 25% from three (27/107) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (141/502) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (526/1,350) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (526/1,350) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.