Northern Arizona vs Montana State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 11

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Montana State guard Robert Ford III (20) goes past Kansas State guard Cam Carter (5) to score during the first half of a first-round college basketball game in the NCAA Tournament on Friday, March 17, 2023, in Greensboro, N.C. (AP Photo/John Bazemore)
(AP Photo/John Bazemore)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 11, 2024, 11:53 AM
  • Montana State (3-9) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Northern Arizona (6-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Northern Arizona / Montana State TV channel: ESPN+

The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (6-9) visit Max Worthington Arena to take on the Montana State Bobcats (3-9) on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Bozeman, MT.

Montana State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Northern Arizona vs. Montana State Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Northern Arizona vs. Montana State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northern Arizona+4.5 -115O 142.5 -110+155
Montana State -4.5 -105U 142.5 -110-190

Northern Arizona vs Montana State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Montana State will win this college basketball game with 61.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northern Arizona vs Montana State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Northern Arizona will cover the spread with 58.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Northern Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Northern Arizona has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 20 away games (+5.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Northern Arizona have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 20 away games (+4.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Northern Arizona has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Northern Arizona has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+2.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Montana State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Montana State has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+3.85 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Montana State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Montana State has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)

Northern Arizona Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Arizona has a 6-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.75 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.4 Units / 0% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.9 Units / 0% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.45 Units / 0% ROI

Montana State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Montana State has a 3-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.9 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / 0% ROI
  • 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 0% ROI
  • 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / 0% ROI

Northern Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Arizona has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (664 assists/ 549 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Northern Arizona has averaged 13.6 assists per game (664 assists/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 13.2

Northern Arizona has a 27% free throw rate (796 free throw attempts/2,913 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Northern Arizona has 197 turnovers this season — tied for 2nd most among Big Sky Teams

Montana State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Montana State has a 38% free throw rate (1,047 free throw attempts/2,755 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 32%

Montana State has attempted 1,047 free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big Sky Teams

Montana State has averaged 7.0 offensive rebounds per game (349 rebounds/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Montana State has 20.9 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 17.9

Northern Arizona Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Arizona has averaged 22.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,084 rebounds/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 19th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Northern Arizona has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (100/319) this season — best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 35%

Northern Arizona has averaged 5.5 steals per game (268 steals/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Northern Arizona has allowed 6.7 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th highest among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 7.1

Montana State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Montana State has 355 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big Sky Teams

Montana State has averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,138 rebounds/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Montana State has 126 steals this season — most among Big Sky Teams

Montana State has averaged 8.4 steals per game (126 steals/15 games) this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 6.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.