Northern Illinois vs Ball State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 27

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Ball State head coach Michael Lewis gestures in the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Illinois State in Indianapolis, Saturday, Dec. 17, 2022.
(AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 27, 2024, 12:30 PM
  • Ball State (11-6) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Northern Illinois (5-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Northern Illinois / Ball State TV channel: ESPN+

The Northern Illinois Huskies (5-11) visit Worthen Arena to take on the Ball State Cardinals (11-6) on Jan. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Muncie, IN.

Ball State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Northern Illinois vs. Ball State Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Northern Illinois vs. Ball State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northern Illinois+4.5 -115O 150.5 -115+155
Ball State -4.5 -105U 150.5 -105-190

Northern Illinois vs Ball State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Ball State will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northern Illinois vs Ball State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Northern Illinois will cover the spread with 54.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 away games (+10.15 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+5.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Ball State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+1.95 Units / 6% ROI)

Northern Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Illinois has a 5-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.1 Units / -40.34% ROI).

  • 4-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -33.76% ROI
  • 10-6 when betting the Over for +3.55 Units / 20.34% ROI
  • 6-10 when betting the Under for -5.3 Units / -29.61% ROI

Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ball State has a 11-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.4 Units / 23.53% ROI).

  • 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -9.11% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.9 Units / -4.79% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -4.3% ROI

Northern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Illinois is shooting 66% from the free throw line (656/998) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 72%

Northern Illinois is shooting 66% from the free throw line (656/998) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Northern Illinois has averaged 11.1 assists per game (199 assists/18 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 12.7

Northern Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (601 assists/ 676 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has averaged 1.35 points per shot (1,425 points/1,054 shots) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Ball State has averaged 8.5 offensive rebounds per game (162 rebounds/19 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 9.3

Ball State has a 41% free throw rate (1,161 free throw attempts/2,838 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%

Ball State has 22.8 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.4

Northern Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Illinois has averaged 5.7 steals per game (103 steals/18 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Northern Illinois has averaged 24.1 defensive rebounds per game (433 rebounds/18 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Northern Illinois has averaged 6.2 steals per game (309 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Northern Illinois has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (521/1,148) this season — 5th highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 45%

Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has averaged 24.1 defensive rebounds per game (457 rebounds/19 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Ball State has averaged 5.8 steals per game (110 steals/19 games) this season — 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Ball State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (286 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Ball State has averaged 24.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,232 rebounds/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.