Northern Illinois vs Buffalo Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 8

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No 3 from Buffalo Bulls dribbling the NBA game ball while an opponent defends
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 08, 2024, 11:26 AM
  • Northern Illinois (9-19) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Buffalo (12-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
  • Northern Illinois / Buffalo TV channel: ESPN+

The Northern Illinois Huskies (9-19) visit Alumni Arena to take on the Buffalo Bulls (12-17) on Mar. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Buffalo, NY.

Northern Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Northern Illinois vs. Buffalo Over/Under is 151.5 total points.

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Northern Illinois vs. Buffalo Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northern Illinois-1.5 +105O 151.5 -110-110
Buffalo +1.5 -125U 151.5 -110-110

Northern Illinois vs Buffalo Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Northern Illinois will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northern Illinois vs Buffalo Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Northern Illinois will cover the spread with 60.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 away games (+8.15 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 16 away games (+4.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.40 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+2.25 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 30 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)

Northern Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Illinois has a 9-19 record against the spread this college basketball season (-11.9 Units / -38.64% ROI).

  • 8-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -1.99% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -10.78% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / 1.28% ROI

Buffalo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Buffalo has a 13-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.6 Units / -14.44% ROI).

  • 5-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.2 Units / -39.67% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -17.55% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 8.78% ROI

Northern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (241 assists/ 287 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Northern Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (241 assists/ 287 TOs) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Northern Illinois has averaged 10.5 assists per game (241 assists/23 games) this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Northern Illinois is shooting 67% from the free throw line (735/1,102) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo is shooting 41% (541/1,312) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Buffalo is shooting 27% from three (147/550) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Buffalo is shooting 27% from three (147/550) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 34%

Buffalo is shooting 30% from three (370/1,245) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Northern Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Illinois has averaged 5.6 steals per game (128 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Northern Illinois has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (562 rebounds/23 games) this season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Northern Illinois has allowed 76.5 points per game (4,208 points/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 73.8

Northern Illinois has allowed 78.6 points per game (1,807 points/23 games) this season — 2nd highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 73.6

Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo has averaged 22.6 defensive rebounds per game (498 rebounds/22 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Buffalo has allowed 80.6 points per game (1,774 points/22 games) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 73.6

Buffalo has averaged 6.3 steals per game (138 steals/22 games) this season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Buffalo has 392 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd most among Mid-American Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.