Northern Illinois vs Toledo Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 27, 2024, 10:53 AM
  • Toledo (13-14) is a -14.5 point favorite vs Northern Illinois (7-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Northern Illinois / Toledo TV channel: ESPN+

The Northern Illinois Huskies (7-18) visit Savage Arena to take on the Toledo Rockets (13-14) on Feb. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Toledo, OH.

Toledo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Northern Illinois vs. Toledo Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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Northern Illinois vs. Toledo Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northern Illinois+14.5 -110O 154.5 -110+750
Toledo -14.5 -110U 154.5 -110-1200

Northern Illinois vs Toledo Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this college basketball game with 92.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northern Illinois vs Toledo Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Toledo will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+4.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+5.35 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.65 Units / 10% ROI)

Northern Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Illinois has a 7-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-12.8 Units / -46.55% ROI).

  • 7-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -25.46% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Over for -2.1 Units / -7.69% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -1.8% ROI

Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Toledo has a 13-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.45 Units / -8.24% ROI).

  • 17-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 2.09% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Over for -0.25 Units / -0.84% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -8.07% ROI

Northern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (241 assists/ 287 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Northern Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (241 assists/ 287 TOs) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Northern Illinois has averaged 10.5 assists per game (241 assists/23 games) this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Northern Illinois is shooting 67% from the free throw line (735/1,102) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo is shooting 49% (1,754/3,583) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Toledo has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (824 assists/ 579 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Toledo has averaged 9.8 turnovers per game (579 turnovers/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Toledo has averaged 83.5 points per game (4,925 points/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 74.5

Northern Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Illinois has averaged 5.6 steals per game (128 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Northern Illinois has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (562 rebounds/23 games) this season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Northern Illinois has allowed 76.5 points per game (4,208 points/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 73.8

Northern Illinois has allowed 78.6 points per game (1,807 points/23 games) this season — 2nd highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 73.6

Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo has 176 steals this season — most among Mid-American Teams

Toledo has averaged 7.3 steals per game (176 steals/24 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Toledo has allowed opponents to shoot 49% (707/1,433) this season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Toledo has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (538 rebounds/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.