Northern Kentucky vs Wright State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 7

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(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 07, 2024, 1:39 PM
  • Wright State (13-16) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Northern Kentucky (16-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 161.5 points
  • Northern Kentucky / Wright State TV channel: ESPN+

The Northern Kentucky Norse (16-13) visit Ervin J. Nutter Center to take on the Wright State Raiders (13-16) on Mar. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Dayton, OH.

Wright State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Northern Kentucky vs. Wright State Over/Under is 161.5 total points.

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Northern Kentucky vs. Wright State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northern Kentucky+6.5 -105O 161.5 -110+260
Wright State -6.5 -115U 161.5 -110-350

Northern Kentucky vs Wright State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Wright State will win this college basketball game with 75.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northern Kentucky vs Wright State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Northern Kentucky will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Northern Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Northern Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 away games (+2.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Northern Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 18 away games (+2.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Northern Kentucky have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Northern Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 31 games (+1.50 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Wright State has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 27 games (+15.50 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Wright State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Wright State have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Wright State has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Wright State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+3.85 Units / 7% ROI)

Northern Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Kentucky has a 16-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.7 Units / 5.33% ROI).

  • 15-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 1.82% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -1.25% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Under for -2.45 Units / -7.69% ROI

Wright State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Wright State has a 13-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.6 Units / -14.42% ROI).

  • 16-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -7.15% ROI
  • 22-6 when betting the Over for +15.4 Units / 48.35% ROI
  • 6-22 when betting the Under for -18.25 Units / -57.12% ROI

Northern Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Kentucky has a 38% free throw rate (528 free throw attempts/1,379 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 32%

Northern Kentucky has made 5.9 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Northern Kentucky is shooting 31% from three (141/453) this season — 3rd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 33%

Northern Kentucky has 22.0 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Wright State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Wright State has averaged 1.43 points per shot (2,149 points/1,501 shots) this season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Wright State is shooting 54% (807/1,501) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Wright State is shooting 54% (807/1,501) this season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 45%

Wright State has a TS% of 52% since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 48%

Northern Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Kentucky has averaged 9.3 steals per game (546 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Northern Kentucky has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (529 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Northern Kentucky has averaged 21.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,249 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Northern Kentucky has averaged 9.3 steals per game (546 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Wright State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Wright State has averaged 23.2 defensive rebounds per game (580 rebounds/25 games) this season — 4th best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.3

Wright State has averaged 6.1 steals per game (352 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Wright State has allowed 81.4 points per game (2,035 points/25 games) this season — tied for 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Wright State has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (741/1,566) this season — tied for 10th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.