Northwestern vs Maryland Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

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The Maryland Terrapins coach shouting with his arms up in the air
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2024, 11:18 AM
  • Maryland (12-16) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Northwestern (14-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 128.5 points
  • Northwestern / Maryland TV channel: BTN

The Northwestern Wildcats (14-11) visit Xfinity Center to take on the Maryland Terrapins (12-16) on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in College Park, MD.

Maryland is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Northwestern vs. Maryland Over/Under is 128.5 total points.

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Northwestern vs. Maryland Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northwestern+5.5 -110O 128.5 -110+185
Maryland -5.5 -110U 128.5 -110-225

Northwestern vs Maryland Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Maryland will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northwestern vs Maryland Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Northwestern will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 games (+9.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+5.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 32 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+0.75 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+12.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+7.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+3.70 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+3.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+1.70 Units / 1% ROI)

Northwestern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northwestern has a 14-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.9 Units / 6.4% ROI).

  • 16-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +11 Units / 15.69% ROI
  • 16-10 when betting the Over for +5 Units / 16.84% ROI
  • 10-16 when betting the Under for -7.6 Units / -25.59% ROI

Maryland Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Maryland has a 12-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.55 Units / -18.02% ROI).

  • 12-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -6.2% ROI
  • 10-18 when betting the Over for -9.8 Units / -31.82% ROI
  • 18-10 when betting the Under for +7 Units / 22.73% ROI

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (373 assists/ 211 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Northwestern has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (540 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Northwestern has averaged 9.2 turnovers per game (211 turnovers/23 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (373 assists/ 211 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends:

Maryland is shooting 29% from three (144/502) this season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Maryland is shooting 31% from three (377/1,212) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Maryland has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (255 assists/ 292 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Maryland is shooting 41% (529/1,293) this season — 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 46%

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1

Northwestern has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Northwestern has 176 steals this season — 3rd most among Big 10 Teams

Northwestern has allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (1,406 points/1,044 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Maryland Defensive Stats & Trends:

Maryland has allowed 63.1 points per game (883 points/14 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.1

Maryland has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (114/398) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Maryland has allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.7

Maryland has allowed 63.0 points per game (1,450 points/23 games) this season — 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.