Northwestern State vs Nicholls State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 5

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Baylor guard Dale Bonner, bottom and Nicholls State guard Micah Thomas, above, tangle for the loose ball in the second half of an NCAA college basketball game Wednesday, Dec. 28, 2022, in Waco, Texas. (AP Photo/Jerry Larson)
(AP Photo/Jerry Larson)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 05, 2024, 12:28 PM
  • Nicholls State (10-8) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Northwestern State (10-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Northwestern State / Nicholls State TV channel: ESPN+

The Northwestern State Demons (10-10) visit David R. Stopher Gymnasium to take on the Nicholls State Colonels (10-8) on Feb. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Thibodaux, LA.

Nicholls State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Northwestern State vs. Nicholls State Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Northwestern State vs. Nicholls State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northwestern State+5.5 -110O 143.5 -105+185
Nicholls State -5.5 -110U 143.5 -115-225

Northwestern State vs Nicholls State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Nicholls State will win this college basketball game with 75.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northwestern State vs Nicholls State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Northwestern State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Northwestern State has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Northwestern State have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 29 games (+3.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Northwestern State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+3.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Northwestern State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 28 games (+0.75 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Northwestern State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Nicholls State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Nicholls State has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.45 Units / 11% ROI)

Northwestern State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northwestern State has a 11-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.1 Units / 5% ROI).

  • 5-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -22.71% ROI
  • 12-8 when betting the Over for +3.2 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 8-12 when betting the Under for -5.2 Units / -23.64% ROI

Nicholls State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nicholls State has a 11-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.3 Units / 16.67% ROI).

  • 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 12.96% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting the Over for +1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting the Under for -3 Units / -15.15% ROI

Northwestern State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern State has averaged 10.6 offensive rebounds per game (222 rebounds/21 games) this season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 10.1

Northwestern State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (664 assists/ 658 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Northwestern State has averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (658 turnovers/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 13.1

Northwestern State has made 7.9 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Nicholls State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nicholls State has a TS% of 47% this season — tied for 3rd best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 46%

Nicholls State has averaged 74.5 points per game (1,564 points/21 games) this season — 5th lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 73.9

Nicholls State is shooting 45% (1,415/3,149) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 44%

Nicholls State has averaged 10.2 assists per game (214 assists/21 games) this season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Northwestern State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern State has averaged 20.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,125 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Northwestern State has averaged 21.3 defensive rebounds per game (448 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Northwestern State has averaged 7.7 steals per game (415 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Northwestern State has allowed 78.1 points per game (1,641 points/21 games) this season — 27th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Nicholls State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nicholls State has averaged 8.7 steals per game (452 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Nicholls State has averaged 24.1 defensive rebounds per game (506 rebounds/21 games) this season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 23.5

Nicholls State has 452 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd most among Southland Teams

Nicholls State has averaged 22.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,176 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 22.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.