Northwestern vs UConn Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 23, 2024, 2:32 PM
  • UConn (23-12) is a -14.5 point favorite vs Northwestern (18-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Northwestern / UConn TV channel: truTV

The Northwestern Wildcats (18-13) visit Barclays Center to take on the UConn Huskies (23-12) on Mar. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in Brooklyn, NY.

UConn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Northwestern vs. UConn Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Northwestern vs. UConn Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northwestern+14.5 -110O 135.5 -105+800
UConn -14.5 -110U 135.5 -115-1400

Northwestern vs UConn Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UConn will win this college basketball game with 92.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northwestern vs UConn Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UConn will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games (+12.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games (+12.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+5.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 29 games (+24.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 32 games (+17.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Connecticut have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 32 games (+15.15 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Connecticut have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+11.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.05 Units / 20% ROI)

Northwestern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northwestern has a 18-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.7 Units / 10.19% ROI).

  • 19-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.2 Units / 15.73% ROI
  • 18-14 when betting the Over for +2.55 Units / 7.02% ROI
  • 14-18 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -16% ROI

UConn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UConn has a 20-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+11.15 Units / 36.14% ROI).

  • 23-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +20.5 Units / 6.45% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -11.63% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Under for +0.75 Units / 2.45% ROI

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern is shooting 39% from three (248/633) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Northwestern has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (599 turnovers/64 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.6

Northwestern has averaged 8.3 turnovers per game (340 turnovers/41 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 10.6

Northwestern has averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (270 turnovers/30 games) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.0

UConn Offensive Stats & Trends:

UConn has averaged 1.39 points per shot (2,692 points/1,938 shots) this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 1.26

UConn has averaged 18.7 assists per game (616 assists/33 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

UConn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (616 assists/ 328 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

UConn is shooting 50% (965/1,938) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has averaged 22.9 defensive rebounds per game (686 rebounds/30 games) this season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6

Northwestern has averaged 7.1 steals per game (212 steals/30 games) this season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Northwestern has averaged 7.7 steals per game (316 steals/41 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Northwestern has averaged 7.5 steals per game (479 steals/64 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.0

UConn Defensive Stats & Trends:

UConn has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (879 rebounds/33 games) this season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

UConn has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,913 rebounds/72 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

UConn has allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.5

UConn has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (794/1,982) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 44%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.