Notre Dame vs Duke Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 7

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Duke head coach Jon Scheyer watches from the sideline against North Carolina State during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in Raleigh, N.C., Wednesday, Jan. 4, 2023.
(AP Photo/Karl B DeBlaker)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 07, 2024, 11:08 AM
  • Duke (10-10) is a -16.5 point favorite vs Notre Dame (11-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
  • Notre Dame / Duke TV channel: ACCN

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (11-11) visit Cameron Indoor Stadium to take on the Duke Blue Devils (10-10) on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Durham, NC.

Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).

The Notre Dame vs. Duke Over/Under is 134.5 total points.

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Notre Dame vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Notre Dame+16.5 -110O 134.5 -115+1000
Duke -16.5 -110U 134.5 -105-2000

Notre Dame vs Duke Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 93.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Notre Dame vs Duke Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Notre Dame will cover the spread with 53.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Notre Dame has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+9.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Notre Dame have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Notre Dame have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+3.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.05 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 32 games (+11.45 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+1.95 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.90 Units / 5% ROI)

Notre Dame Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Notre Dame has a 11-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.95 Units / -3.95% ROI).

  • 6-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -20.47% ROI
  • 7-15 when betting the Over for -9.5 Units / -39.18% ROI
  • 15-7 when betting the Under for +7.35 Units / 30.43% ROI

Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Duke has a 10-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1 Units / -4.33% ROI).

  • 11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.9 Units / -9.03% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Over for +0.05 Units / 0.22% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Under for -2.1 Units / -9.07% ROI

Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends:

Notre Dame is shooting 38% (226/588) in the second half this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 46%

Notre Dame is shooting 26% from three (62/242) in the second half this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Notre Dame is shooting 42% (626/1,496) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 46%

Notre Dame has averaged 4.0 assists per game (88 assists/22 games) in the second half this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:

Duke is shooting 43% from three (89/209) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (319 assists/ 192 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (170 assists/ 91 TOs) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Duke is shooting 49% (582/1,196) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

Notre Dame Defensive Stats & Trends:

Notre Dame has averaged 5.2 steals per game (177 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Notre Dame has allowed 33.0 points per game (726 points/22 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 37.2

Notre Dame has allowed 65.5 points per game (1,441 points/22 games) this season — 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Notre Dame has averaged 5.2 steals per game (282 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,487 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Duke has allowed 65.3 points per game (3,656 points/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.1

Duke has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (2,028 points/1,852 shots) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.16

Duke has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (3,656 points/3,219 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.20


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.