Ohio State vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 15

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Illinois coach Brad Underwood watches during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Michigan State, Friday, Jan. 13, 2023, in Champaign, Ill.
(AP Photo/Michael Allio)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 15, 2024, 12:07 PM
  • Illinois (16-12) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Ohio State (15-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Ohio State / Illinois TV channel: BTN

The Ohio State Buckeyes (15-16) visit Target Center to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (16-12) on Mar. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (+100).

The Ohio State vs. Illinois Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Ohio State vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ohio State+5.5 -120O 150.5 -110+180
Illinois -5.5 +100U 150.5 -110-225

Ohio State vs Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 66.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Ohio State vs Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Ohio State will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Ohio State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+13.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+9.80 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Ohio State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+9.55 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+5.20 Units / 7% ROI)

Ohio State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ohio State has a 15-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.65 Units / -7.52% ROI).

  • 13-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -2.08% ROI
  • 18-14 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 7.39% ROI
  • 14-18 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -16.48% ROI

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 16-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.75 Units / 8.05% ROI).

  • 16-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 1.1% ROI
  • 21-10 when betting the Over for +9.95 Units / 29.14% ROI
  • 10-21 when betting the Under for -13.1 Units / -38.47% ROI

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ohio State has averaged 6.1 assists per game (347 assists/57 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Ohio State is shooting 75% from the free throw line (442/591) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Ohio State is shooting 36% from three (401/1,121) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Ohio State is shooting 76% from the free throw line (328/432) this season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has 22.0 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Illinois is shooting 32% from three (446/1,389) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois has averaged 1.31 points per shot (1,896 points/1,449 shots) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (246 assists/ 248 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Ohio State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ohio State has forced 9.7 turnovers per game (406 turnovers/42 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.7

Ohio State has allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (3,937 points/3,351 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Ohio State has forced 8.8 turnovers per game (132 turnovers/15 games) this season — 4th lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.4

Ohio State has forced 10.6 turnovers per game (602 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (683 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Illinois has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.7

Illinois has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (683 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (1,620 points/1,482 shots) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.