Ohio vs Toledo Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 16, 2024, 7:58 AM
  • Toledo (12-12) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Ohio (10-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points
  • Ohio / Toledo TV channel: ESPNU

The Ohio Bobcats (10-13) visit Savage Arena to take on the Toledo Rockets (12-12) on Feb. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Toledo, OH.

Toledo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Ohio vs. Toledo Over/Under is 159.5 total points.

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Ohio vs. Toledo Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ohio+5.5 -110O 159.5 -110+
Toledo -5.5 -110U 159.5 -110+

Ohio vs Toledo Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this college basketball game with 70.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Ohio vs Toledo Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Ohio will cover the spread with 53.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Ohio has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+6.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+2.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Toledo have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)

Ohio Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ohio has a 10-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.3 Units / -17% ROI).

  • 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -9.65% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI

Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Toledo has a 12-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.25 Units / -4.73% ROI).

  • 15-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 2.11% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 3.41% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -12.5% ROI

Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ohio has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (339 assists/ 227 TOs) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Ohio has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (227 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Ohio has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (227 turnovers/24 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Ohio has averaged 10.4 turnovers per game (591 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo is shooting 49% (1,754/3,583) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Toledo has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (824 assists/ 579 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Toledo has averaged 9.8 turnovers per game (579 turnovers/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Toledo has averaged 83.5 points per game (4,925 points/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 74.5

Ohio Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ohio has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,368 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Ohio has averaged 6.6 steals per game (378 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Ohio has 157 steals this season — 4th most among Mid-American Teams

Ohio has averaged 6.5 steals per game (157 steals/24 games) this season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo has 176 steals this season — most among Mid-American Teams

Toledo has averaged 7.3 steals per game (176 steals/24 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Toledo has allowed opponents to shoot 49% (707/1,433) this season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Toledo has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (538 rebounds/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.