Oklahoma State vs UCF Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 12

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Central Florida head coach Johnny Dawkins reacts to a call during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Auburn Wednesday, Dec. 1, 2021, in Auburn, Ala.
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 12, 2024, 12:07 PM
  • UCF (18-12) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Oklahoma State (11-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • Oklahoma State / UCF TV channel: ESPN+

The Oklahoma State Cowboys (11-18) visit T-Mobile Center to take on the UCF Knights (18-12) on Mar. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 12:30pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

UCF is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-120).

The Oklahoma State vs. UCF Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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Oklahoma State vs. UCF Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oklahoma State+3.5 +100O 136.5 -115+155
UCF -3.5 -120U 136.5 -105-190

Oklahoma State vs UCF Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UCF will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Oklahoma State vs UCF Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on UCF vs Oklahoma State and all games with BetMGM


  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+8.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)

Oklahoma State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Oklahoma State has a 11-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.8 Units / -25.81% ROI).

  • 9-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.65 Units / -22.62% ROI
  • 18-13 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 10.88% ROI
  • 13-18 when betting the Under for -6.9 Units / -20.18% ROI

UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCF has a 18-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.95 Units / 18.68% ROI).

  • 13-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -3.41% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Over for -3.45 Units / -10.76% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 2.51% ROI

Oklahoma State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Oklahoma St. had an eFG% of 39% in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 53%

Oklahoma St. had an eFG% of 42% in possessions with at least three passes last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 50%

Oklahoma St. had a TS% of 41% in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 50%

Oklahoma St. shot 34% (15/44) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 45%

UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCF is shooting 42% (945/2,253) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 45%

UCF has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (248 assists/ 263 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

UCF is shooting 74% from the free throw line (763/1,027) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

UCF has 218 turnovers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd fewest among AAC Teams

Oklahoma State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Oklahoma St. forced 5.2 turnovers per game (94 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 4.2

Oklahoma State has allowed opponents to shoot 50% (355/705) this season — 3rd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 45%

Oklahoma St. allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three (13/57) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

Oklahoma St. allowed opponents to shoot 33% on catch and shoot opportunities (19/57) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCF has 182 steals this season — 4th most among Big 12 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.