Ole Miss vs Mississippi State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 21, 2024, 10:21 AM
  • Mississippi State (12-12) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Ole Miss (13-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Ole Miss / Mississippi State TV channel: ESPN2

The Ole Miss Rebels (13-12) visit Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-12) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Starkville, MS.

Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ole Miss+6.5 -110O 142.5 -110+250
Mississippi State -6.5 -110U 142.5 -110-300

Ole Miss vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this college basketball game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Ole Miss vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Ole Miss will cover the spread with 55.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.20 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games at home (+12.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+12.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+3.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Mississippi State have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+1.70 Units / 7% ROI)

Ole Miss Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ole Miss has a 13-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.25 Units / -0.91% ROI).

  • 17-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.65 Units / 15.42% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -0.37% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -8.33% ROI

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 12-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.25 Units / -4.54% ROI).

  • 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 3.95% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -15.97% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Under for +1.95 Units / 7.1% ROI

Ole Miss Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ole Miss has averaged 4.6 turnovers per game (101 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 5.4

Ole Miss is shooting 39% from three (165/428) this season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Ole Miss has a 32% free throw rate (420 free throw attempts/1,307 field goal attempts) this season — 4th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Ole Miss has averaged 71.1 points per game (3,913 points/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 74.3

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State is shooting 29% from three (341/1,183) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (271/419) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%

Mississippi State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (750/1,126) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Mississippi State has averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (717 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Ole Miss Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ole Miss has 187 steals this season — 10th most among Power Conference teams

Ole Miss has averaged 8.5 steals per game (187 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Ole Miss has 187 steals this season — 2nd most among SEC Teams

Ole Miss has averaged 8.2 steals per game (271 steals/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (466 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Mississippi State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (466 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Mississippi State has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Mississippi State has allowed 60.4 points per game (1,992 points/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.