Penn State vs Iowa Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 27

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Iowa head coach Fran McCaffery, center, reacts after being called for a technical foul during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Indiana, Thursday, Jan. 5, 2023, in Iowa City, Iowa.
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 27, 2024, 10:56 AM
  • Iowa (11-17) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Penn State (14-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 161.5 points
  • Penn State / Iowa TV channel: BTN

The Penn State Nittany Lions (14-14) visit Carver-Hawkeye Arena to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes (11-17) on Feb. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Iowa City, IA.

Iowa is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The Penn State vs. Iowa Over/Under is 161.5 total points.

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Penn State vs. Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Penn State+8.5 -105O 161.5 -105+325
Iowa -8.5 -115U 161.5 -115-400

Penn State vs Iowa Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Iowa will win this college basketball game with 81.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Penn State vs Iowa Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Iowa will cover the spread with 52.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games (+12.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+7.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Penn State have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 18 away games (+4.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 32 games (+0.75 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+0.40 Units / 2% ROI)

Penn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Penn State has a 14-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.35 Units / -4.39% ROI).

  • 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 7.13% ROI
  • 18-10 when betting the Over for +6.9 Units / 22.33% ROI
  • 10-18 when betting the Under for -9.8 Units / -31.92% ROI

Iowa Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Iowa has a 11-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.7 Units / -25% ROI).

  • 11-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 18-10 when betting the Over for +7 Units / 22.76% ROI
  • 10-18 when betting the Under for -9.85 Units / -31.93% ROI

Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has attempted 733 threes on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State has made 260 three-pointers on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State has made 566 three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State is shooting 36% from three (566/1,551) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (418 assists/ 228 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (961 assists/ 554 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (961 assists/ 554 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.2

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (326 assists/ 230 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has averaged 8.9 steals per game (204 steals/23 games) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Penn State has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1

Penn State has averaged 8.9 steals per game (204 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Penn State has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa has allowed 75.9 points per game (2,579 points/34 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 65.9

Iowa has 181 steals this season — 2nd most among Big 10 Teams

Iowa has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (1,586/3,416) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Iowa has 397 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd most among Big 10 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.