Penn State vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 27

Michigan center Danny Wolf (1) reacts during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Arkansas, Tuesday, Dec. 10, 2024, in New York. Arkansas won 89-87. (AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)
(AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)
  • Michigan is a -8.5 point favorite vs Penn State
  • Total (Over/Under): 160.5 points
  • Penn State / Michigan TV channel: BTN

The Penn State Nittany Lions visit Crisler Center to take on the Michigan Wolverines on Jan. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Ann Arbor, MI, USA.

Michigan is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-118).

The Penn State vs. Michigan Over/Under is 160.5 total points.

Bet now on Michigan vs Penn State & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Penn State vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Penn State+8.5 -102O 160.5 -115+333
Michigan -8.5 -118U 160.5 -105-450

Penn State vs Michigan Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Michigan will win this college basketball game with 78.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Penn State vs Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Penn State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Michigan vs Penn State and all games with BetMGM


  • Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 34 games (+8.05 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Penn State have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 34 games (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 34 games (+0.65 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+9.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+8.60 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+6.45 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)

Penn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Penn State has a 10-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 0.84% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting the Over for -4.1 Units / -18.64% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting the Under for +2.2 Units / 10% ROI

Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan has a 10-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 13-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 0.4% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting the Over for +4.25 Units / 20.19% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting the Under for -6.1 Units / -29.4% ROI

Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has averaged 45.6 points per game (911 points/20 games) in the second half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 41.0

Penn State is shooting 52% (315/603) in the second half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 48%

Penn State has averaged 83.8 points per game (1,675 points/20 games) this season — 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.4

Penn State has an eFG% of 55% this season — 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 15.0 turnovers per game (285 turnovers/19 games) this season — 2nd highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

Michigan has averaged 15.0 turnovers per game (285 turnovers/19 games) this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Michigan has averaged 7.7 turnovers per game (371 turnovers/48 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.9

Michigan has averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (156 turnovers/19 games) in the first half this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has averaged 9.7 steals per game (292 steals/30 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Penn State averaged 8.3 steals per game (266 steals/32 games) last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Penn State has averaged 7.2 steals per game (158 steals/22 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.0

Penn State has 184 steals this season — most among Big 10 Teams

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan averaged 4.0 steals per game (117 steals/29 games) last season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Michigan has averaged 4.8 steals per game (231 steals/48 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Michigan has averaged 4.8 steals per game (231 steals/48 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Michigan has averaged 5.1 steals per game (123 steals/24 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.0


Bet now on Michigan vs Penn State and all games with BetMGM


More College Basketball Betting at

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college basketball betting throughout the year. From futures like national championship odds and conference championship odds to weekly team betting like Purdue basketball odds, Michigan basketball odds, or Indiana basketball odds, there’s entertainment for everyone. If you don’t have an account, check your eligibility for a sportsbook welcome offer or BetMGM Refer A Friend bonus.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.