Penn State vs Northwestern Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 11

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Northwestern head coach Chris Collins coaches against Rutgers during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game, Sunday, March 5, 2023 in Piscataway, N.J. Northwestern won 65-53. (AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
(AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 11, 2024, 8:56 AM
  • Northwestern (11-10) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Penn State (11-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • Penn State / Northwestern TV channel: BTN

The Penn State Nittany Lions (11-12) visit Welsh-Ryan Arena to take on the Northwestern Wildcats (11-10) on Feb. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Evanston, IL.

Northwestern is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Penn State vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

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Penn State vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Penn State+8.5 -115O 145.5 -115+270
Northwestern -8.5 -105U 145.5 -105-350

Penn State vs Northwestern Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Northwestern will win this college basketball game with 77.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Penn State vs Northwestern Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Penn State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+12.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 19 away games (+10.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Penn State have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 19 away games (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+3.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+12.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+3.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+3.05 Units / 14% ROI)

Penn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Penn State has a 11-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI).

  • 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 6.63% ROI
  • 15-8 when betting the Over for +6.1 Units / 24.02% ROI
  • 8-15 when betting the Under for -8.5 Units / -33.73% ROI

Northwestern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northwestern has a 11-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 13-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.75 Units / 15.3% ROI
  • 15-7 when betting the Over for +7.3 Units / 28.85% ROI
  • 7-15 when betting the Under for -9.5 Units / -37.55% ROI

Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has averaged 9.7 turnovers per game (574 turnovers/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7

Penn State has averaged 7.7 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.7

Penn State has made 262 three-pointers in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State has made 9.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.5

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (359 assists/ 205 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Northwestern has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (205 turnovers/22 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.5

Northwestern has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (534 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Northwestern has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (534 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7

Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (485 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1

Penn State has 201 steals this season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State has 201 steals this season — 5th most among Power Conference teams

Penn State has averaged 9.1 steals per game (201 steals/22 games) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (489 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1

Northwestern has averaged 23.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,322 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6

Northwestern has allowed an average of 1.34 points per shot (1,553 points/1,159 shots) this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.19

Northwestern has averaged 7.7 steals per game (169 steals/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.