Pittsburgh vs North Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 15

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North Carolina head coach Hubert Davis directs his team against Boston College during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Tuesday, Jan. 17, 2023, in Chapel Hill, N.C.
(AP Photo/Chris Seward)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 15, 2024, 12:10 PM
  • North Carolina (19-13) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Pittsburgh (20-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Pittsburgh / North Carolina TV channel: ESPN

The Pittsburgh Panthers (20-9) visit Capital One Arena to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (19-13) on Mar. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Washington, DC.

North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Pittsburgh vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Pittsburgh vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Pittsburgh+7.5 -110O 147.5 -110+280
North Carolina -7.5 -110U 147.5 -110-350

Pittsburgh vs North Carolina Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Pittsburgh vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Pittsburgh will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Pittsburgh has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+14.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 away games (+11.20 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 34 games (+10.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+4.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games at home (+9.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • North Carolina have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)

Pittsburgh Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Pittsburgh has a 20-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+10.1 Units / 28.57% ROI).

  • 21-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.55 Units / 6.34% ROI
  • 18-12 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 13.96% ROI
  • 12-18 when betting the Under for -7.8 Units / -22.1% ROI

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 19-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.65 Units / 13.17% ROI).

  • 22-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.55 Units / 5.96% ROI
  • 15-17 when betting the Over for -3.8 Units / -10.76% ROI
  • 17-15 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI

Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh has attempted 308 threes in the second half this season — most among ACC Teams

Pittsburgh has attempted 619 threes this season — most among ACC Teams

Pittsburgh has made 276 three-pointers in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams

Pittsburgh has made 9.1 three-pointers per game this season — 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has 349 offensive rebounds on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams

North Carolina has 677 defensive rebounds this season — most among ACC Teams

North Carolina has averaged 10.2 turnovers per game (235 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

North Carolina has a 38% free throw rate (1,302 free throw attempts/3,445 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Pittsburgh Defensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh has averaged 26.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,552 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Pittsburgh has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (609 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Pittsburgh has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (159/527) this season — 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Pittsburgh has averaged 5.3 steals per game (127 steals/24 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.9

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (677 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (807 points/717 shots) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.30

North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (282/717) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

North Carolina has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (677 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.