Pittsburgh vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 13

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Virginia head coach Tony Bennett reacts to a call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Wake Forest in Winston-Salem, N.C., Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023.
(AP Photo/Chuck Burton)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 13, 2024, 11:57 AM
  • Virginia (14-9) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Pittsburgh (13-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 121.5 points
  • Pittsburgh / Virginia TV channel: ACCN

The Pittsburgh Panthers (13-8) visit John Paul Jones Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers (14-9) on Feb. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Charlottesville, VA.

Virginia is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Over/Under is 121.5 total points.

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Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Pittsburgh+6.5 -105O 121.5 -110+240
Virginia -6.5 -115U 121.5 -110-300

Pittsburgh vs Virginia Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this college basketball game with 70.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Pittsburgh vs Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Pittsburgh will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Pittsburgh has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+8.20 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 34 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+4.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+3.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games at home (+11.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 21 games at home (+11.40 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+9.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+7.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.40 Units / 28% ROI)

Pittsburgh Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Pittsburgh has a 13-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.2 Units / 16.5% ROI).

  • 14-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.95 Units / 3.61% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Over for +1.1 Units / 4.37% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Under for -3.2 Units / -12.6% ROI

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has a 15-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.2 Units / 23.48% ROI).

  • 16-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.75 Units / 9.65% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -21.01% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting the Under for +3.1 Units / 11.83% ROI

Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh has attempted 308 threes in the second half this season — most among ACC Teams

Pittsburgh has attempted 619 threes this season — most among ACC Teams

Pittsburgh has made 276 three-pointers in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams

Pittsburgh has made 9.1 three-pointers per game this season — 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (883 assists/ 474 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.2

Virginia has averaged 8.5 turnovers per game (474 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (299 assists/ 189 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (364 assists/ 193 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Pittsburgh Defensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh has averaged 26.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,552 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Pittsburgh has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (609 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Pittsburgh has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (159/527) this season — 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Pittsburgh has averaged 5.3 steals per game (127 steals/24 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.9

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has allowed 24.1 points per game (555 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6

Virginia has allowed 24.1 points per game (555 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6

Virginia has allowed 55.2 points per game (1,931 points/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 68.1

Virginia has allowed 59.6 points per game (953 points/16 games) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.