Providence vs Creighton Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 14, 2024, 11:29 AM
  • Creighton (17-14) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Providence (18-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Providence / Creighton TV channel: FS1

The Providence Friars (18-13) visit Madison Square Garden to take on the Creighton Bluejays (17-14) on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in New York, NY.

Creighton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-120).

The Providence vs. Creighton Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Providence vs. Creighton Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Providence+7.5 +100O 142.5 -115+300
Creighton -7.5 -120U 142.5 -105-375

Providence vs Creighton Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Creighton will win this college basketball game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Providence vs Creighton Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Providence will cover the spread with 55.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Providence has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.30 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Providence have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+3.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Creighton has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 35 games (+14.00 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Creighton has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Creighton has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Creighton has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+3.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Creighton have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 35 games (+1.40 Units / 4% ROI)

Providence Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Providence has a 20-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.8 Units / 19.29% ROI).

  • 19-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.3 Units / 4.66% ROI
  • 13-18 when betting the Over for -6.8 Units / -19.29% ROI
  • 18-13 when betting the Under for +3.75 Units / 10.67% ROI

Creighton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Creighton has a 16-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.5 Units / -1.46% ROI).

  • 17-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -30.8 Units / -22.63% ROI
  • 15-16 when betting the Over for -2.55 Units / -7.48% ROI
  • 16-15 when betting the Under for -0.45 Units / -1.32% ROI

Providence Offensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has a 35% free throw rate (1,171 free throw attempts/3,360 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 31%

Providence is shooting 46% (1,528/3,360) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 45%

Providence has a 38% free throw rate (759 free throw attempts/2,012 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 33%

Providence has made 190 three-pointers this season — 5th most among Big East Teams

Creighton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Creighton has 15.3 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.9

Creighton has a TS% of 53% this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Creighton has a TS% of 52% since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 48%

Creighton has an eFG% of 57% this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 52%

Providence Defensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,517 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Providence has averaged 27.4 defensive rebounds per game (658 rebounds/24 games) this season — 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Providence has averaged 6.9 steals per game (234 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Providence has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (1,626 points/1,446 shots) this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Creighton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Creighton has averaged 30.4 defensive rebounds per game (700 rebounds/23 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Creighton has averaged 30.4 defensive rebounds per game (700 rebounds/23 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1

Creighton has averaged 3.7 steals per game (86 steals/23 games) this season — lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Creighton has averaged 29.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,771 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.