Providence vs Marquette Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 15, 2024, 12:13 PM
  • Marquette (19-12) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Providence (19-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Providence / Marquette TV channel: FS1

The Providence Friars (19-13) visit Madison Square Garden to take on the Marquette Golden Eagles (19-12) on Mar. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in New York, NY.

Marquette is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Providence vs. Marquette Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Providence vs. Marquette Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Providence+4.5 -110O 138.5 -110+165
Marquette -4.5 -110U 138.5 -110-200

Providence vs Marquette Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Marquette will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Providence vs Marquette Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Providence will cover the spread with 53.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Providence has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+9.35 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Providence have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+4.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+3.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+3.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Marquette has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Marquette have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Marquette has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+3.85 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Marquette has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+2.30 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Marquette has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 22 games at home (+0.75 Units / 3% ROI)

Providence Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Providence has a 21-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.8 Units / 21.46% ROI).

  • 20-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.35 Units / 6.56% ROI
  • 14-18 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -15.96% ROI
  • 18-14 when betting the Under for +2.65 Units / 7.31% ROI

Marquette Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Marquette has a 19-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.85 Units / 16.62% ROI).

  • 18-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 2.63% ROI
  • 13-19 when betting the Over for -7.9 Units / -22.38% ROI
  • 19-13 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 13.68% ROI

Providence Offensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has a 35% free throw rate (1,171 free throw attempts/3,360 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 31%

Providence is shooting 46% (1,528/3,360) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 45%

Providence has a 38% free throw rate (759 free throw attempts/2,012 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 33%

Providence has made 190 three-pointers this season — 5th most among Big East Teams

Marquette Offensive Stats & Trends:

Marquette has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (983 assists/ 614 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Marquette has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (983 assists/ 614 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.2

Marquette has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (360 assists/ 228 TOs) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Marquette has 16.2 free throw attempts per game this season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.9

Providence Defensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,517 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Providence has averaged 27.4 defensive rebounds per game (658 rebounds/24 games) this season — 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Providence has averaged 6.9 steals per game (234 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Providence has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (1,626 points/1,446 shots) this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Marquette Defensive Stats & Trends:

Marquette has forced 15.8 turnovers per game (917 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 12.2

Marquette has averaged 9.5 steals per game (350 steals/37 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Marquette has forced 16.6 turnovers per game (613 turnovers/37 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 12.7

Marquette has forced 14.5 turnovers per game (304 turnovers/21 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 11.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.