Providence vs Villanova Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

min read
A team manager in a blue suit looking pensive
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2024, 12:35 PM
  • Villanova (10-11) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Providence (12-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Providence / Villanova TV channel: FS1

The Providence Friars (12-8) visit Wells Fargo Center to take on the Villanova Wildcats (10-11) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Philadelphia, PA.

Villanova is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Providence vs. Villanova Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

Bet now on Villanova vs Providence & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Providence vs. Villanova Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Providence+4.5 -110O 137.5 -110+165
Villanova -4.5 -110U 137.5 -110-200

Providence vs Villanova Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Villanova will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Providence vs Villanova Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Providence will cover the spread with 55.4% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Villanova vs Providence and all games with BetMGM


  • Providence has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Providence have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 12 away games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Villanova have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+2.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+1.95 Units / 9% ROI)

Providence Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Providence has a 14-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.3 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 13-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.75 Units / 4.97% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting the Over for -6.3 Units / -27.27% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting the Under for +4.2 Units / 18.18% ROI

Villanova Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Villanova has a 10-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.15 Units / -9.29% ROI).

  • 10-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.65 Units / -12.29% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -9.48% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Providence Offensive Stats & Trends:

Providence is shooting 32% from three (162/504) this season — tied for 36th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Providence is shooting 46% (552/1,199) this season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 45%

Providence is shooting 35% from three (92/260) in the first half this season — 4th best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

Providence is shooting 73% from the free throw line (545/745) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 74%

Villanova Offensive Stats & Trends:

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (759/923) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (759/923) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (466/569) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 75%

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (759/923) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 74%

Providence Defensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has averaged 27.8 defensive rebounds per game (584 rebounds/21 games) this season — 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Providence has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,443 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Providence has averaged 6.6 steals per game (139 steals/21 games) this season — 4th best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Providence has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (503/1,263) this season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Villanova Defensive Stats & Trends:

Villanova has allowed 65.1 points per game (976 points/15 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.2

Villanova has averaged 5.2 steals per game (109 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Villanova has averaged 5.5 steals per game (303 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Villanova has allowed 65.2 points per game (1,370 points/21 games) this season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8


Bet now on Villanova vs Providence and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At the best online sportsbook, you can bet on updated college basketball betting odds, including parlays and live sports betting. The best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

Log in to your account now for updated sportsbook promos in your state. If you don’t have an account, check out BetMGM’s welcome offer.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.