Purdue Fort Wayne vs Tarleton State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – CIT, Mar. 25

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Tarleton State head coach Billy Gillespie
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 25, 2024, 1:04 PM
  • CIT Semifinal prediction & betting odds
  • Tarleton State (20-11) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Purdue Fort Wayne (18-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Purdue Fort Wayne / Tarleton State TV channel: ESPN+

The Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (18-13) visit Wisdom Gym to take on the Tarleton State Texans (20-11) on Mar. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Stephenville, TX.

Tarleton State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Purdue Fort Wayne vs. Tarleton State Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Purdue Fort Wayne vs. Tarleton State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Purdue Fort Wayne+5.5 -105O 150.5 -110+200
Tarleton State -5.5 -115U 150.5 -110-250

Purdue Fort Wayne vs Tarleton State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tarleton State will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Purdue Fort Wayne vs Tarleton State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Purdue Fort Wayne will cover the spread with 52.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Purdue Fort Wayne has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Purdue Fort Wayne has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Purdue Fort Wayne has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Purdue Fort Wayne have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Purdue Fort Wayne have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 29 games (+19.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 22 games (+13.45 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 28 games (+8.85 Units / 27% ROI)

Purdue Fort Wayne Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Purdue Fort Wayne has a 18-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.65 Units / 10.34% ROI).

  • 20-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 3.34% ROI
  • 18-14 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 7.39% ROI
  • 14-18 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -16.48% ROI

Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tarleton State has a 20-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+9 Units / 26.35% ROI).

  • 22-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.2 Units / 31.14% ROI
  • 19-11 when betting the Over for +6.9 Units / 20.23% ROI
  • 11-19 when betting the Under for -9.9 Units / -29.03% ROI

Purdue Fort Wayne Offensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue Fort Wayne has averaged 7.4 offensive rebounds per game (244 rebounds/33 games) this season — lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 9.5

Purdue Fort Wayne has averaged 10.1 turnovers per game (334 turnovers/33 games) this season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Purdue Fort Wayne has made 9.4 three-pointers per game this season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Purdue Fort Wayne has averaged 7.4 offensive rebounds per game (244 rebounds/33 games) this season — tied for 18th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has made 5.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Tarleton State has a TS% of 46% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 36th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Tarleton State is shooting 45% (1,686/3,725) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 45%

Tarleton State has made 5.5 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Purdue Fort Wayne Defensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue Fort Wayne has averaged 9.4 steals per game (311 steals/33 games) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Purdue Fort Wayne has forced 16.0 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/33 games) this season — best among Horizon Teams ; League Avg: 12.1

Purdue Fort Wayne has 311 steals this season — most among Horizon Teams

Purdue Fort Wayne has averaged 9.4 steals per game (311 steals/33 games) this season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has averaged 9.2 steals per game (597 steals/65 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Tarleton State has averaged 21.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,381 rebounds/65 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Tarleton State has averaged 22.3 defensive rebounds per game (690 rebounds/31 games) this season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Tarleton State has forced 15.5 turnovers per game (1,008 turnovers/65 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1


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