Rutgers vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 21

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Illinois coach Brad Underwood watches during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Michigan State, Friday, Jan. 13, 2023, in Champaign, Ill.
(AP Photo/Michael Allio)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 21, 2024, 12:09 PM
  • Illinois (9-5) is a -11.5 point favorite vs Rutgers (8-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Rutgers / Illinois TV channel: BTN

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights (8-9) visit State Farm Center to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (9-5) on Jan. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Champaign, IL.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The Rutgers vs. Illinois Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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Rutgers vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Rutgers+11.5 -115O 141.5 -110+550
Illinois -11.5 -105U 141.5 -110-800

Rutgers vs Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 87.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Rutgers vs Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Rutgers will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Rutgers has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.20 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+3.85 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+3.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 31 games (+2.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+0.70 Units / 3% ROI)

Rutgers Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Rutgers has a 8-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.95 Units / -10.37% ROI).

  • 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -1.26% ROI
  • 5-12 when betting the Over for -8.2 Units / -43.73% ROI
  • 12-5 when betting the Under for +6.45 Units / 34.4% ROI

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 9-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.5 Units / 18.72% ROI).

  • 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -5.1% ROI
  • 10-7 when betting the Over for +2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI
  • 7-10 when betting the Under for -4 Units / -21.39% ROI

Rutgers Offensive Stats & Trends:

Rutgers is shooting 57% from the free throw line (84/146) in the first half this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 70%

Rutgers has averaged 1.12 points per shot (1,167 points/1,040 shots) this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.30

Rutgers has averaged 1.18 points per shot (599 points/507 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.37

Rutgers has averaged 1.14 points per shot (3,493 points/3,052 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (629 assists/ 620 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Illinois is shooting 30% from three (131/436) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (419 assists/ 397 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (629 assists/ 620 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Rutgers Defensive Stats & Trends:

Rutgers has averaged 9.2 steals per game (293 steals/32 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Rutgers has averaged 8.2 steals per game (418 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.0

Rutgers has 418 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th most among Power Conference teams

Rutgers has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (554/1,408) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.04 points per shot (1,152 points/1,107 shots) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.04 points per shot (1,152 points/1,107 shots) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Illinois has averaged 30.3 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/17 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.4

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.04 points per shot (1,152 points/1,107 shots) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.17


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.