Sacramento State vs Montana Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 22

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Montana guard Brandon Whitney controls the ball during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Gonzaga, Tuesday, Dec. 20, 2022, in Spokane, Wash. (AP Photo/Young Kwak)
(AP Photo/Young Kwak)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 22, 2024, 12:14 PM
  • Montana (14-9) is a -13.5 point favorite vs Sacramento State (8-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 130.5 points
  • Sacramento State / Montana TV channel: ESPN+

The Sacramento State Hornets (8-17) visit Dahlberg Arena to take on the Montana Grizzlies (14-9) on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Missoula, MT.

Montana is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-105).

The Sacramento State vs. Montana Over/Under is 130.5 total points.

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Sacramento State vs. Montana Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Sacramento State+13.5 -115O 130.5 -110+675
Montana -13.5 -105U 130.5 -110-1100

Sacramento State vs Montana Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Montana will win this college basketball game with 89.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Sacramento State vs Montana Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Sacramento State will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Sacramento State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Montana has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games (+9.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Montana have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Montana has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Montana has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 27 games (+1.80 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Montana has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)

Sacramento State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Sacramento State has a 8-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-10.65 Units / -38.8% ROI).

  • 4-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.1 Units / -52.52% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Over for -6.5 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 14.55% ROI

Montana Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Montana has a 14-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.1 Units / 16.17% ROI).

  • 14-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.32% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI

Sacramento State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has averaged 10.2 offensive rebounds per game (561 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Sacramento State has averaged 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (256 rebounds/23 games) this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 8.0

Sacramento State has 256 offensive rebounds this season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State has 561 offensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big Sky Teams

Montana Offensive Stats & Trends:

Montana has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (364 assists/ 229 TOs) this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Montana has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (364 assists/ 229 TOs) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Montana is shooting 79% from the free throw line (689/874) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 74%

Montana has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (229 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Sacramento State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has averaged 4.5 steals per game (103 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Sacramento State has averaged 23.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,309 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.3

Sacramento State has forced 9.1 turnovers per game (210 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Sacramento State has allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (3,792 points/3,079 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 1.27

Montana Defensive Stats & Trends:

Montana has averaged 25.1 defensive rebounds per game (603 rebounds/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.8

Montana has averaged 4.7 steals per game (113 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Montana has allowed 6.2 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 6.9

Montana has allowed 6.5 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 7.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.