Saint Louis vs Dayton Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 16

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Dayton coach Anthony Grant shouts from the sideline during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Lindenwood, Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Dayton, Ohio.
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 16, 2024, 12:25 PM
  • Dayton (8-6) is a -12.5 point favorite vs Saint Louis (7-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Saint Louis / Dayton TV channel: CBSSN

The Saint Louis Billikens (7-8) visit University of Dayton Arena to take on the Dayton Flyers (8-6) on Jan. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Dayton, OH.

Dayton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

The Saint Louis vs. Dayton Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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Saint Louis vs. Dayton Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Saint Louis+12.5 -105O 141.5 -110+650
Dayton -12.5 -115U 141.5 -110-1000

Saint Louis vs Dayton Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Dayton will win this college basketball game with 89.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Saint Louis vs Dayton Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Dayton will cover the spread with 52.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Saint Louis has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+6.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Saint Louis has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Saint Louis has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+4.20 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Saint Louis has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Saint Louis has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 30 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 15 games at home (+7.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+4.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.05 Units / 3% ROI)

Saint Louis Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Saint Louis has a 8-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.3 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / -100% ROI
  • 10-5 when betting the Over for +4.5 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 5-10 when betting the Under for -5.95 Units / -100% ROI

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has a 8-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.4 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 12-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.85 Units / -100% ROI
  • 8-7 when betting the Over for +0.3 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 7-8 when betting the Under for -1.8 Units / -100% ROI

Saint Louis Offensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Louis has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (736 assists/ 590 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Saint Louis has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (736 assists/ 590 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Saint Louis has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (193 assists/ 190 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Saint Louis has averaged 15.0 assists per game (736 assists/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (744 assists/ 574 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Dayton is shooting 40% from three (144/357) this season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 36%

Dayton is shooting 75% from the free throw line (221/293) this season — 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Dayton has averaged 73.4 points per game (1,101 points/15 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 75.4

Saint Louis Defensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Louis has allowed 76.6 points per game (1,225 points/16 games) this season — highest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 69.7

Saint Louis has forced 10.6 turnovers per game (519 turnovers/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 12.4

Saint Louis has forced 10.6 turnovers per game (519 turnovers/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.4

Saint Louis has allowed 76.6 points per game (1,225 points/16 games) this season — highest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 69.7

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (3,043 points/2,838 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Dayton has allowed 62.1 points per game (3,043 points/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 69.4

Dayton has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (3,043 points/2,838 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Dayton has averaged 5.1 steals per game (249 steals/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.