San Diego State vs Nevada Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 9

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(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 09, 2024, 10:53 AM
  • Nevada (14-8) is a -2.5 point favorite vs San Diego State (9-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • San Diego State / Nevada TV channel: CBSSN

The San Diego State Aztecs (9-12) visit Lawlor Events Center to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack (14-8) on Feb. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Reno, NV.

Nevada is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The San Diego State vs. Nevada Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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San Diego State vs. Nevada Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
San Diego State+2.5 -115O 140.5 -110+115
Nevada -2.5 -105U 140.5 -110-140

San Diego State vs Nevada Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Nevada will win this college basketball game with 54.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

San Diego State vs Nevada Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts San Diego State will cover the spread with 52.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 36 games (+24.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games (+6.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 36 games (+2.35 Units / 6% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 36 games (+1.30 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+5.80 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+1.95 Units / 4% ROI)

San Diego State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

San Diego State has a 9-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.2 Units / -18.14% ROI).

  • 16-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.8 Units / 10.57% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting the Over for +4.2 Units / 18.22% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting the Under for -6.35 Units / -27.43% ROI

Nevada Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nevada has a 15-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.35 Units / 30.5% ROI).

  • 18-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.5 Units / 12.3% ROI
  • 8-14 when betting the Over for -7.45 Units / -30.66% ROI
  • 14-8 when betting the Under for +5.25 Units / 21.78% ROI

San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State has an eFG% of 52% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%

San Diego State is shooting 45% (607/1,344) this season — tied for lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 47%

San Diego State is shooting 33% from three (170/512) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

San Diego State is shooting 44% (1,593/3,594) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 46%

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has averaged 9.9 turnovers per game (554 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Nevada has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (217 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Nevada has attempted 570 free throws this season — most among Mountain West Teams

Nevada has 24.8 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 19.7

San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (29/108) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (414/1,415) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (414/1,415) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (541/1,324) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (1,314/3,135) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%

Nevada has allowed 66.2 points per game (1,523 points/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.9

Nevada has averaged 26.2 defensive rebounds per game (602 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.2

Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (533/1,299) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.