San Diego State vs UNLV Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 14

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A coach dressed in a black tracksuit, signalling to players
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 14, 2024, 11:33 AM
  • San Diego State (12-17) is a -4.5 point favorite vs UNLV (18-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
  • San Diego State / UNLV TV channel: CBSSN

The San Diego State Aztecs (12-17) visit Thomas & Mack Center to take on the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (18-10) on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 5:30pm EDT in Las Vegas, NV.

San Diego State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The San Diego State vs. UNLV Over/Under is 133.5 total points.

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San Diego State vs. UNLV Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
San Diego State-4.5 -110O 133.5 -115-200
UNLV +4.5 -110U 133.5 -105+165

San Diego State vs UNLV Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts San Diego State will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

San Diego State vs UNLV Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UNLV will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games (+14.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+0.75 Units / 1% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 27 games (+18.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • UNLV have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • UNLV have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.65 Units / 52% ROI)

San Diego State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

San Diego State has a 12-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.7 Units / -20.97% ROI).

  • 19-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 6.05% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -1.26% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Under for -2.55 Units / -7.98% ROI

UNLV Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UNLV has a 19-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+9.1 Units / 29.5% ROI).

  • 19-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.4 Units / 30.24% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI

San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State has an eFG% of 51% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%

San Diego State has a TS% of 47% this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 49%

San Diego State is shooting 45% (627/1,393) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 47%

San Diego State has 22.2 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV has averaged 10.7 offensive rebounds per game (214 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.7

UNLV is shooting 34% from three (411/1,199) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

UNLV has an eFG% of 52% this season — 3rd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%

UNLV has averaged 15.0 assists per game (301 assists/20 games) this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 14.6

San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (29/108) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (417/1,428) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (1,443/3,522) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (417/1,428) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

UNLV Defensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV has forced 16.1 turnovers per game (837 turnovers/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.3

UNLV has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (139/416) this season — 4th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

UNLV has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (468 rebounds/20 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.2

UNLV has averaged 8.4 steals per game (436 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.