San Francisco vs Cincinnati Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 18, 2024, 4:52 PM
  • NIT Tournament First Round betting odds & predictions
  • Cincinnati (17-17) is a -5.5 point favorite vs San Francisco (18-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • San Francisco / Cincinnati TV channel: ESPN+

The San Francisco Dons (18-14) visit Fifth Third Arena to take on the Cincinnati Bearcats (17-17) on Mar. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

Cincinnati is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-120).

The San Francisco vs. Cincinnati Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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San Francisco vs. Cincinnati Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
San Francisco+5.5 +100O 142.5 -110+
Cincinnati -5.5 -120U 142.5 -110+

San Francisco vs Cincinnati Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Cincinnati will win this college basketball game with 70.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

San Francisco vs Cincinnati Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts San Francisco will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • San Francisco has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games (+11.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • San Francisco has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 27 games (+10.60 Units / 6% ROI)
  • San Francisco has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • San Francisco have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • San Francisco has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 36 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 36 games (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)

San Francisco Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

San Francisco has a 19-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.75 Units / 13.49% ROI).

  • 19-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.6 Units / 5.48% ROI
  • 17-15 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI
  • 15-17 when betting the Under for -3.65 Units / -10.38% ROI

Cincinnati Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cincinnati has a 16-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.65 Units / -7.1% ROI).

  • 17-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -1.38% ROI
  • 17-17 when betting the Over for -1.7 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 17-17 when betting the Under for -1.75 Units / -4.67% ROI

San Francisco Offensive Stats & Trends:

San Francisco has a TS% of 53% this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

San Francisco has averaged 79.4 points per game (1,905 points/24 games) this season — 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

San Francisco has 14.7 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

San Francisco has averaged 13.2 turnovers per game (763 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 18th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cincinnati has averaged 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (305 rebounds/21 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.0

Cincinnati has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (885 assists/ 627 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Cincinnati has averaged 15.5 assists per game (885 assists/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Cincinnati has 305 offensive rebounds this season — 2nd most among Big 12 Teams

San Francisco Defensive Stats & Trends:

San Francisco has 210 steals this season — most among West Coast Conference Teams

San Francisco has averaged 8.8 steals per game (210 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

San Francisco has averaged 8.8 steals per game (210 steals/24 games) this season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 6.1

San Francisco has averaged 7.6 steals per game (438 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Cincinnati Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cincinnati has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,509 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Cincinnati has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (3,908 points/3,362 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Cincinnati has allowed 6.1 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.