Santa Clara vs Saint Mary’s Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 11, 2024, 10:54 AM
  • Saint Mary’s (16-14) is a -10.5 point favorite vs Santa Clara (18-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Santa Clara / Saint Mary’s TV channel: ESPN

The Santa Clara Broncos (18-11) visit Orleans Arena to take on the Saint Mary’s Gaels (16-14) on Mar. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Paradise, NV.

Saint Mary’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Santa Clara vs. Saint Mary’s Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Santa Clara vs. Saint Mary’s Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Santa Clara+10.5 -110O 135.5 -110+475
Saint Mary’s -10.5 -110U 135.5 -110-650

Santa Clara vs Saint Mary’s Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Saint Mary’s will win this college basketball game with 80.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Santa Clara vs Saint Mary’s Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Santa Clara will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Santa Clara have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Santa Clara have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Santa Clara has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 away games (+3.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Santa Clara has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Santa Clara has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 32 games (+17.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+8.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 32 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)

Santa Clara Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Santa Clara has a 17-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.8 Units / 11.13% ROI).

  • 16-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -4.22% ROI
  • 13-16 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -13.49% ROI
  • 16-13 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 4.99% ROI

Saint Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Saint Mary’s has a 16-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.7 Units / 5.15% ROI).

  • 20-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -5.76% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.55 Units / 1.66% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.55 Units / -10.79% ROI

Santa Clara Offensive Stats & Trends:

Santa Clara has averaged 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (292 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Santa Clara is shooting 46% (667/1,436) this season — 3rd best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 46%

Santa Clara is shooting 37% from three (206/562) this season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 35%

Santa Clara has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (368 assists/ 318 TOs) this season — tied for 4th lowest among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Saint Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Mary’s has averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (341 rebounds/24 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Saint Mary’s has averaged 15.5 assists per game (371 assists/24 games) this season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Saint Mary’s has 341 offensive rebounds this season — most among West Coast Conference Teams

Saint Mary’s has averaged 10.6 turnovers per game (628 turnovers/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Santa Clara Defensive Stats & Trends:

Santa Clara has averaged 5.5 steals per game (316 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Santa Clara has averaged 5.0 steals per game (120 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 19th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Santa Clara has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (643 rebounds/24 games) this season — 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Santa Clara has averaged 27.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,557 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Saint Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Mary’s has allowed 57.6 points per game (1,383 points/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Saint Mary’s has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (638 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Saint Mary’s has allowed 59.1 points per game (3,488 points/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.1

Saint Mary’s has allowed 59.1 points per game (3,488 points/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 72.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.