SMU vs East Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 13

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East Carolina's RJ Felton (3) is defended by Houston's Tramon Mark, left, during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game in Greenville, N.C., Saturday, Feb. 25, 2023. (AP Photo/Ben McKeown)
(AP Photo/Ben McKeown)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 13, 2024, 10:56 AM
  • SMU (9-5) is a -4.5 point favorite vs East Carolina (7-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • SMU / East Carolina TV channel: ESPN+

The SMU Mustangs (9-5) visit Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum to take on the East Carolina Pirates (7-7) on Jan. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Greenville, NC.

SMU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The SMU vs. East Carolina Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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SMU vs. East Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
SMU-4.5 -105O 137.5 -110-190
East Carolina +4.5 -115U 137.5 -110+155

SMU vs East Carolina Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 66.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

SMU vs East Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts East Carolina will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • SMU have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+6.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 29 games (+2.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.50 Units / 46% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+1.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 30 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)

SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

SMU has a 9-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.6 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.25 Units / 0% ROI
  • 3-11 when betting the Over for -9.1 Units / 0% ROI
  • 11-3 when betting the Under for +7.7 Units / 0% ROI

East Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

East Carolina has a 7-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.7 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.5 Units / 0% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.9 Units / 0% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.4 Units / 0% ROI

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has averaged 1.18 points per shot (3,366 points/2,842 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.25

SMU has a TS% of 45% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 18th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

SMU has averaged 1.18 points per shot (3,366 points/2,842 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

SMU is shooting 43% (1,231/2,842) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

East Carolina has made 78 two point field goals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among AAC Teams

East Carolina is shooting 42% (1,172/2,815) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

East Carolina is shooting 69% from the free throw line (734/1,061) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

East Carolina has a 38% free throw rate (1,061 free throw attempts/2,815 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 16th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 32%

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has 351 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd most among AAC Teams

SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 25% from three (27/107) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 37% (321/876) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 42%

SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (86/327) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 32%

East Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

East Carolina has averaged 8.1 steals per game (130 steals/16 games) this season — 5th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

East Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (121/389) this season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

East Carolina has 344 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among AAC Teams

East Carolina has 130 steals this season — 4th most among AAC Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.