South Alabama vs Texas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 1

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Close up of the Texas State coach
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 01, 2024, 11:36 AM
  • Texas State (7-12) is a -3.5 point favorite vs South Alabama (10-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • South Alabama / Texas State TV channel: ESPN+

The South Alabama Jaguars (10-8) visit Strahan Coliseum to take on the Texas State Bobcats (7-12) on Feb. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in San Marcos, TX.

Texas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The South Alabama vs. Texas State Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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South Alabama vs. Texas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Alabama+3.5 -110O 142.5 -110+140
Texas State -3.5 -110U 142.5 -110-165

South Alabama vs Texas State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas State will win this college basketball game with 57.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

South Alabama vs Texas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts South Alabama will cover the spread with 56.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • South Alabama have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.35 Units / 15% ROI)

South Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Alabama has a 10-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.2 Units / 6.08% ROI).

  • 8-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -13.19% ROI
  • 11-7 when betting the Over for +3.35 Units / 16.96% ROI
  • 7-11 when betting the Under for -5.1 Units / -25.69% ROI

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has a 7-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.2 Units / -29.67% ROI).

  • 5-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.6 Units / -38.25% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Over for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Under for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has averaged 6.7 offensive rebounds per game (367 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 9.8

South Alabama has averaged 9.7 turnovers per game (535 turnovers/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.5

South Alabama has 14.7 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 18.7

South Alabama has averaged 7.4 offensive rebounds per game (148 rebounds/20 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 10.4

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has made 4.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Texas State has made 4.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Texas State has made 4.7 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas State has made 4.7 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5

South Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has averaged 23.8 defensive rebounds per game (477 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.8

South Alabama has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,340 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.1

South Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (561/1,232) this season — 3rd highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 43%

South Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (313/1,014) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has averaged 22.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,240 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Texas State has averaged 22.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,240 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Texas State has averaged 23.5 defensive rebounds per game (493 rebounds/21 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Texas State has averaged 23.5 defensive rebounds per game (493 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 40th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.