South Alabama vs Troy Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 27, 2024, 12:39 PM
  • Troy (12-4) is a -8.5 point favorite vs South Alabama (9-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • South Alabama / Troy TV channel: ESPN+

The South Alabama Jaguars (9-8) visit Trojan Arena to take on the Troy Trojans (12-4) on Jan. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Troy, AL.

Troy is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The South Alabama vs. Troy Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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South Alabama vs. Troy Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Alabama+8.5 -115O 150.5 -110+300
Troy -8.5 -105U 150.5 -110-375

South Alabama vs Troy Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Troy will win this college basketball game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

South Alabama vs Troy Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts South Alabama will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • South Alabama have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+11.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+7.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+5.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+2.80 Units / 10% ROI)

South Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Alabama has a 9-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI).

  • 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -10.27% ROI
  • 10-7 when betting the Over for +2.35 Units / 12.6% ROI
  • 7-10 when betting the Under for -4 Units / -21.33% ROI

Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Troy has a 12-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.45 Units / 39.21% ROI).

  • 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 3.17% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 6.95% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -15.51% ROI

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has averaged 6.7 offensive rebounds per game (367 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 9.8

South Alabama has 14.7 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 18.6

South Alabama has averaged 9.7 turnovers per game (535 turnovers/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.6

South Alabama has a 25% free throw rate (811 free throw attempts/3,257 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 31%

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Troy has 22.8 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Troy has averaged 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (236 rebounds/20 games) this season — 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Troy has made 9.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Troy has averaged 13.6 turnovers per game (271 turnovers/20 games) this season — highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.8

South Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has averaged 23.8 defensive rebounds per game (477 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.8

South Alabama has allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

South Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (561/1,232) this season — tied for 36th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

South Alabama has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,340 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Troy has averaged 10.2 steals per game (204 steals/20 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Troy has averaged 10.2 steals per game (204 steals/20 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Troy has averaged 9.3 steals per game (492 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Troy has averaged 9.3 steals per game (492 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.