South Florida vs Memphis Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 18

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Memphis head coach Penny Hardaway yells to his players in the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Vanderbilt Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Nashville, Tenn. (
(AP Photo/Mark Humphrey)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 18, 2024, 12:06 PM
  • Memphis (7-10) is a -11.5 point favorite vs South Florida (8-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 158.5 points
  • South Florida / Memphis TV channel: ESPN

The South Florida Bulls (8-5) visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Tigers (7-10) on Jan. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Memphis, TN.

Memphis is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The South Florida vs. Memphis Over/Under is 158.5 total points.

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South Florida vs. Memphis Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Florida+11.5 -115O 158.5 -110+525
Memphis -11.5 -105U 158.5 -110-750

South Florida vs Memphis Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Memphis will win this college basketball game with 87.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

South Florida vs Memphis Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts South Florida will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • South Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+3.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 away games (+2.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • South Florida have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 28 games (+1.90 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 32 games (+21.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games (+1.25 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 34 games (+0.80 Units / 2% ROI)

South Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Florida has a 8-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.5 Units / -17.76% ROI).

  • 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.55 Units / -70.71% ROI
  • 4-10 when betting the Over for -7 Units / 8.33% ROI
  • 10-4 when betting the Under for +5.6 Units / -18.83% ROI

Memphis Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Memphis has a 7-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.05 Units / -17.76% ROI).

  • 13-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.95 Units / -70.71% ROI
  • 11-5 when betting the Over for +5.5 Units / 8.33% ROI
  • 5-11 when betting the Under for -7.1 Units / -18.83% ROI

South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida is shooting 68% from the free throw line (618/912) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

South Florida is shooting 68% from the free throw line (618/912) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%

South Florida has attempted 1,032 threes since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among AAC Teams

South Florida has averaged 1.23 points per shot (3,373 points/2,734 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends:

Memphis is shooting 36% from three (357/1,000) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Memphis has a TS% of 49% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Memphis is shooting 48% (1,480/3,111) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Memphis is shooting 47% (476/1,015) this season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida has 311 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th most among AAC Teams

South Florida has allowed an average of 1.26 points per shot (3,287 points/2,618 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.20

South Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (346/1,006) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 32%

South Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,126/2,618) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 42%

Memphis Defensive Stats & Trends:

Memphis has 447 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among AAC Teams

Memphis has averaged 8.6 steals per game (447 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Memphis has averaged 8.6 steals per game (146 steals/17 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Memphis has forced 14.9 turnovers per game (777 turnovers/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.