South Florida vs North Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 3

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North Texas' Moulaye Sissoko (14) grabs a rebound against UAB's Trey Jemison (55) during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game in the final of the NIT, Thursday, March 30, 2023, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/John Locher)
(AP Photo/John Locher)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 03, 2024, 10:56 AM
  • North Texas (11-7) is a -6.5 point favorite vs South Florida (12-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 130.5 points
  • South Florida / North Texas TV channel: ESPN+

The South Florida Bulls (12-5) visit The Super Pit to take on the North Texas Mean Green (11-7) on Feb. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Denton, TX.

North Texas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The South Florida vs. North Texas Over/Under is 130.5 total points.

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South Florida vs. North Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Florida+6.5 -110O 130.5 -110+230
North Texas -6.5 -110U 130.5 -110-275

South Florida vs North Texas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Texas will win this college basketball game with 73.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

South Florida vs North Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Texas will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • South Florida has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+8.20 Units / 69% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • South Florida have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 28 games (+4.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • South Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 away games (+2.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 33 games (+20.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • North Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 33 games (+11.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • North Texas have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 33 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+10.55 Units / 16% ROI)

South Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Florida has a 12-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.5 Units / 31.03% ROI).

  • 13-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -6.19% ROI
  • 6-13 when betting the Over for -8.3 Units / -39.62% ROI
  • 13-6 when betting the Under for +6.45 Units / 30.94% ROI

North Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Texas has a 10-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.35 Units / 11.9% ROI).

  • 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -5.37% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting the Over for -0.9 Units / -4.56% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting the Under for -0.95 Units / -4.79% ROI

South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida has averaged 1.24 points per shot (3,665 points/2,954 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.25

South Florida is shooting 69% from the free throw line (678/988) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%

South Florida is shooting 73% from the free throw line (299/407) this season — tied for 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%

South Florida has averaged 12.7 turnovers per game (635 turnovers/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 12.2

North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Texas has averaged 11.0 assists per game (464 assists/42 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 13.3

North Texas has averaged 10.4 assists per game (209 assists/20 games) this season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 13.2

North Texas has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (209 assists/ 235 TOs) this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

North Texas has 16.1 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.5

South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida has 338 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among AAC Teams

South Florida has forced 13.4 turnovers per game (669 turnovers/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 12.5

South Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (370/1,100) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

South Florida has allowed an average of 1.24 points per shot (3,557 points/2,862 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.20

North Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Texas has allowed 59.0 points per game (2,480 points/42 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 70.8

North Texas has allowed 57.3 points per game (3,326 points/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.0

North Texas has averaged 23.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,336 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 41st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

North Texas has averaged 6.8 steals per game (136 steals/20 games) this season — 5th lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.