Southern Illinois vs Murray State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 27

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No 24 from Murray State Racers catching the NBA game ball
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 27, 2024, 12:26 PM
  • Murray State (9-10) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Southern Illinois (13-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Southern Illinois / Murray State TV channel: ESPN+

The Southern Illinois Salukis (13-5) visit CFSB Center to take on the Murray State Racers (9-10) on Jan. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Murray, KY.

Murray State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Southern Illinois vs. Murray State Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Southern Illinois vs. Murray State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Southern Illinois+3.5 -110O 135.5 -110+140
Murray State -3.5 -110U 135.5 -110-165

Southern Illinois vs Murray State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Murray State will win this college basketball game with 59.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Southern Illinois vs Murray State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Southern Illinois will cover the spread with 57.7% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Murray State vs Southern Illinois and all games with BetMGM


  • Southern Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 30 games (+2.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+2.20 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 30 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+7.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.10 Units / 0% ROI)

Southern Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Southern Illinois has a 13-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.5 Units / 35.89% ROI).

  • 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -2.05% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting the Over for +1.2 Units / 5.74% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting the Under for -3 Units / -14.35% ROI

Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Murray State has a 9-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.05 Units / -9.79% ROI).

  • 7-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -26.54% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting the Over for -4.2 Units / -19.91% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting the Under for +2.3 Units / 11.11% ROI

Southern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Illinois has averaged 10.8 turnovers per game (217 turnovers/20 games) this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Southern Illinois is shooting 37% from three (163/439) this season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Southern Illinois is shooting 74% from the free throw line (675/913) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71%

Southern Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (292 assists/ 217 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has averaged 9.6 turnovers per game (192 turnovers/20 games) this season — tied for best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Murray State has made 6.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Murray State has averaged 10.3 turnovers per game (538 turnovers/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Murray State has averaged 71.6 points per game (1,432 points/20 games) this season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 73.9

Southern Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Illinois has averaged 5.6 steals per game (111 steals/20 games) this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Southern Illinois has allowed 4.8 made three-pointers per game this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Southern Illinois has averaged 5.6 steals per game (111 steals/20 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Southern Illinois has allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has averaged 5.7 steals per game (295 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Murray State has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (162/456) this season — tied for 33rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Murray State has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (514/1,125) this season — tied for 33rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Murray State has forced 11.2 turnovers per game (584 turnovers/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.