TCU vs BYU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

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BYU guard Jaxson Robinson shoots during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Gonzaga, Saturday, Feb. 11, 2023, in Spokane, Wash. (AP Photo/Young Kwak)
(AP Photo/Young Kwak)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2024, 12:57 PM
  • BYU (16-12) is a -6.5 point favorite vs TCU (17-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 157.5 points
  • TCU / BYU TV channel: ESPN+

The TCU Horned Frogs (17-11) visit Marriott Center to take on the BYU Cougars (16-12) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Provo, UT.

BYU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The TCU vs. BYU Over/Under is 157.5 total points.

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TCU vs. BYU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
TCU+6.5 -110O 157.5 -115+220
BYU -6.5 -110U 157.5 -105-275

TCU vs BYU Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts BYU will win this college basketball game with 73.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

TCU vs BYU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • TCU have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 games (+11.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • BYU have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+3.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+3.10 Units / 7% ROI)

TCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

TCU has a 17-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.9 Units / 15.88% ROI).

  • 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 0.72% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

BYU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

BYU has a 16-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.75 Units / 8.91% ROI).

  • 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.08% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Over for -3.55 Units / -11.51% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 2.28% ROI

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

TCU averaged 1.5 turnovers per game (27 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

TCU had 27 turnovers in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU shot 28% from three (62/224) in half court possessions last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

TCU made 1.3 three-pointers per game in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 2.9

BYU Offensive Stats & Trends:

BYU has made 12.0 three-pointers per game this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.7

BYU has attempted 726 threes this season — most among Big 12 Teams

BYU has made 127 three-pointers in the second half this season — most among Big 12 Teams

BYU has made 263 three-pointers this season — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

TCU allowed an average of 0.52 points per shot (12 points/23 shots) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.09

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% on catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 18% from three (4/22) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 37%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three off the dribble (12/64) last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

BYU Defensive Stats & Trends:

BYU has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (250/652) in the first half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 41%

BYU has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (436/1,060) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 44%

BYU has averaged 27.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,530 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

BYU has allowed an average of 1.00 points per shot (650 points/652 shots) in the first half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.10


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.