TCU vs Cincinnati Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 16, 2024, 12:16 PM
  • Cincinnati (7-9) is a -3.5 point favorite vs TCU (10-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
  • TCU / Cincinnati TV channel: ESPN+

The TCU Horned Frogs (10-6) visit Fifth Third Arena to take on the Cincinnati Bearcats (7-9) on Jan. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Cincinnati, OH.

Cincinnati is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The TCU vs. Cincinnati Over/Under is 151.5 total points.

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TCU vs. Cincinnati Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
TCU+3.5 -115O 151.5 -110+130
Cincinnati -3.5 -105U 151.5 -110-155

TCU vs Cincinnati Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Cincinnati will win this college basketball game with 59.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

TCU vs Cincinnati Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 59.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.15 Units / 0% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 16 away games (+0.85 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+8.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+1.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Cincinnati have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 33 games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)

TCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

TCU has a 10-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.4 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / -100% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -100% ROI

Cincinnati Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cincinnati has a 7-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.9 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / -100% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -100% ROI

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

TCU averaged 1.5 turnovers per game (27 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

TCU had 27 turnovers in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU attempted 62 threes in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU shot 38% (24/64) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cincinnati has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (559 assists/ 383 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Cincinnati has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (262 assists/ 179 TOs) this season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Cincinnati has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (821 assists/ 562 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Cincinnati is shooting 68% from the free throw line (205/301) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 17% (4/23) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

TCU allowed an average of 0.52 points per shot (12 points/23 shots) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.09

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 47% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (23/49) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Cincinnati Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cincinnati has averaged 28.3 defensive rebounds per game (453 rebounds/16 games) this season — 3rd best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 26.8

Cincinnati has averaged 6.2 steals per game (100 steals/16 games) this season — 4th lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Cincinnati has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,391 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Cincinnati has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (3,547 points/3,070 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.