TCU vs Utah State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 20, 2024, 6:00 PM
  • March Madness 1st Round betting odds & predictions
  • TCU (19-14) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Utah State (14-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • TCU / Utah State TV channel: TBS

The TCU Horned Frogs (19-14) visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Utah State Aggies (14-15) on Mar. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 9:55pm EDT in Indianapolis, IN.

TCU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The TCU vs. Utah State Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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TCU vs. Utah State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
TCU-3.5 -105O 150.5 -110-160
Utah State +3.5 -115U 150.5 -110+135

TCU vs Utah State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts TCU will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

TCU vs Utah State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Utah State will cover the spread with 58.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games (+0.10 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 29 games (+15.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Utah State have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)

TCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

TCU has a 19-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.65 Units / 10.06% ROI).

  • 14-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -4.9% ROI
  • 18-15 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • 15-18 when betting the Under for -4.8 Units / -13.22% ROI

Utah State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Utah State has a 12-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.45 Units / -13.51% ROI).

  • 23-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.65 Units / 9.73% ROI
  • 19-10 when betting the Over for +8.05 Units / 24.43% ROI
  • 10-19 when betting the Under for -10.9 Units / -32.98% ROI

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

TCU averaged 1.5 turnovers per game (27 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

TCU had 27 turnovers in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU shot 28% from three (62/224) in half court possessions last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

TCU made 1.3 three-pointers per game in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 2.9

Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Utah State has averaged 16.9 assists per game (964 assists/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Utah State is shooting 32% from three (131/409) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Utah State has averaged 17.1 assists per game (377 assists/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 14.6

Utah State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (377 assists/ 254 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.3

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

TCU allowed an average of 0.52 points per shot (12 points/23 shots) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.09

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% on catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 18% from three (4/22) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 37%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three off the dribble (12/64) last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

Utah State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Utah State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (127/449) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Utah State has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Utah State has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (590 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.2

Utah State has allowed 68.7 points per game (1,511 points/22 games) this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.