Tennessee vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 14, 2024, 11:38 AM
  • Tennessee (10-12) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Arkansas (6-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
  • Tennessee / Arkansas TV channel: ESPN2

The Tennessee Volunteers (10-12) visit Bud Walton Arena to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (6-17) on Feb. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Fayetteville, AR.

Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Tennessee vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 151.5 total points.

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Tennessee vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tennessee-8.5 -110O 151.5 -110-400
Arkansas +8.5 -110U 151.5 -110+320

Tennessee vs Arkansas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this college basketball game with 80.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Tennessee vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+6.90 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+3.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.15 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.05 Units / 19% ROI)

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has a 10-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.15 Units / -12.5% ROI).

  • 12-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -4.25% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Over for +4.1 Units / 16.17% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Under for -6.35 Units / -25.15% ROI

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has a 6-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-12.85 Units / -50.49% ROI).

  • 10-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -11 Units / -12.08% ROI
  • 16-7 when betting the Over for +8.3 Units / 32.81% ROI
  • 7-16 when betting the Under for -10.6 Units / -41.9% ROI

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (664 assists/ 398 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (366 assists/ 219 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (967 assists/ 650 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (462 assists/ 292 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has 26.6 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.9

Arkansas has a 46% free throw rate (558 free throw attempts/1,209 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas has a 42% free throw rate (1,368 free throw attempts/3,271 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Arkansas has a 42% free throw rate (1,368 free throw attempts/3,271 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 32%

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has allowed 57.6 points per game (2,073 points/36 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (357/1,273) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (1,180/3,126) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 42%

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 35% (707/1,990) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 41%

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has averaged 5.5 steals per game (116 steals/21 games) this season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Arkansas has allowed an average of 1.37 points per shot (900 points/655 shots) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Arkansas has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (84/225) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Arkansas has allowed 42.9 points per game (900 points/21 games) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 38.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.