Tennessee vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 03, 2024, 10:42 AM
  • Tennessee (8-11) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Kentucky (12-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points
  • Tennessee / Kentucky TV channel: ESPN

The Tennessee Volunteers (8-11) visit Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center to take on the Kentucky Wildcats (12-8) on Feb. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Lexington, KY.

Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Tennessee vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 159.5 total points.

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tennessee-1.5 +100O 159.5 -110-115
Kentucky +1.5 -120U 159.5 -110-105

Tennessee vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this college basketball game with 54.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Tennessee vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 57.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+4.15 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 32 games (+13.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+2.90 Units / 12% ROI)

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has a 8-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.05 Units / -18.49% ROI).

  • 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -5.94% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Over for +1.1 Units / 4.99% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Under for -3.05 Units / -13.9% ROI

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 12-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.2 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • 13-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.3 Units / -7.08% ROI
  • 15-5 when betting the Over for +9.5 Units / 43.08% ROI
  • 5-15 when betting the Under for -11.45 Units / -52.16% ROI

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (321 assists/ 205 TOs) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Tennessee has 922 assists since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Tennessee has averaged 18.3 assists per game (641 assists/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 14.5

Tennessee has averaged 11.2 turnovers per game (391 turnovers/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (346 assists/ 186 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (858 assists/ 585 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Kentucky has averaged 90.0 points per game (1,710 points/19 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 76.4

Kentucky is shooting 40% from three (189/474) this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 35% (683/1,932) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 41%

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (339/1,221) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (206/788) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (339/1,221) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,420 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Kentucky has allowed 78.2 points per game (1,486 points/19 games) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71.5

Kentucky has forced 10.1 turnovers per game (181 turnovers/18 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Kentucky has allowed 40.4 points per game (767 points/19 games) in the second half this season — 3rd highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 37.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.