Tennessee vs Missouri Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 20, 2024, 11:14 AM
  • Tennessee (12-12) is a -11.5 point favorite vs Missouri (6-19)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Tennessee / Missouri TV channel: SECN

The Tennessee Volunteers (12-12) visit Mizzou Arena to take on the Missouri Tigers (6-19) on Feb. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Columbia, MO.

Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).

The Tennessee vs. Missouri Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Tennessee vs. Missouri Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tennessee-11.5 -115O 146.5 -110-800
Missouri +11.5 -105U 146.5 -110+550

Tennessee vs Missouri Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this college basketball game with 89.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Tennessee vs Missouri Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 33 games (+10.15 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.70 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+1.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has a 12-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.15 Units / -4.19% ROI).

  • 14-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -1.52% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 14.52% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Under for -6.45 Units / -23.5% ROI

Missouri Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri has a 6-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-13.8 Units / -50.18% ROI).

  • 5-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.8 Units / -20.86% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -8.36% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (664 assists/ 398 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (366 assists/ 219 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (967 assists/ 650 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (462 assists/ 292 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has 16.3 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Missouri has a 28% free throw rate (374 free throw attempts/1,351 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Missouri has a 30% free throw rate (677 free throw attempts/2,279 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Missouri is shooting 77% from the free throw line (523/677) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72%

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has allowed 57.6 points per game (2,073 points/36 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (357/1,273) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (1,180/3,126) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 42%

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 35% (707/1,990) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 41%

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1

Missouri has allowed an average of 1.26 points per shot (2,080 points/1,653 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.11

Missouri has averaged 9.3 steals per game (540 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Missouri has averaged 21.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,267 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.