Texas A&M vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 16, 2024, 12:23 PM
  • Texas A&M (8-8) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Arkansas (4-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Texas A&M / Arkansas TV channel: SECN

The Texas A&M Aggies (8-8) visit Bud Walton Arena to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (4-12) on Jan. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Fayetteville, AR.

Texas A&M is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Texas A&M vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Texas A&M vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas A&M-3.5 -105O 147.5 -110-155
Arkansas +3.5 -115U 147.5 -110+130

Texas A&M vs Arkansas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this college basketball game with 59.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Texas A&M vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 58.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Texas A&M have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 34 games (+1.95 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+2.55 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 35 games (+1.75 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+1.60 Units / 7% ROI)

Texas A&M Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas A&M has a 8-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.8 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -100% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.2 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -100% ROI

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has a 4-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.25 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.65 Units / -100% ROI
  • 11-5 when betting the Over for +5.5 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 5-11 when betting the Under for -7.1 Units / -100% ROI

Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas A&M has averaged 18.8 offensive rebounds per game (300 rebounds/16 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

Texas A&M has 300 offensive rebounds this season — most among SEC Teams

Texas A&M has averaged 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (739 rebounds/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Texas A&M has an eFG% of 45% this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 52%

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has a 41% free throw rate (1,235 free throw attempts/2,991 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Arkansas has a 46% free throw rate (425 free throw attempts/929 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Arkansas has 23.8 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.5

Arkansas has 23.8 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.8

Texas A&M Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas A&M has averaged 6.7 steals per game (215 steals/32 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Texas A&M has 127 steals this season — tied for 5th most among SEC Teams

Texas A&M has allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (1,092 points/912 shots) this season — 5th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.18

Texas A&M has allowed 67.0 points per game (3,419 points/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 68.9

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has 392 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among SEC Teams

Arkansas has averaged 5.6 steals per game (90 steals/16 games) this season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Arkansas has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.4

Arkansas has allowed 42.0 points per game (672 points/16 games) in the second half this season — tied for highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 37.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.