Texas A&M vs Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 16, 2024, 9:55 AM
  • Florida (15-17) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Texas A&M (16-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
  • Texas A&M / Florida TV channel: ESPN

The Texas A&M Aggies (16-17) visit Bridgestone Arena to take on the Florida Gators (15-17) on Mar. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Nashville, TN.

Florida is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-120).

The Texas A&M vs. Florida Over/Under is 151.5 total points.

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Texas A&M vs. Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas A&M+2.5 +100O 151.5 -110+135
Florida -2.5 -120U 151.5 -110-160

Texas A&M vs Florida Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Florida will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Texas A&M vs Florida Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas A&M will cover the spread with 57.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+3.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games (+14.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 30 games (+12.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+6.90 Units / 13% ROI)

Texas A&M Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas A&M has a 16-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.7 Units / -7.44% ROI).

  • 17-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.95 Units / -9.33% ROI
  • 20-13 when betting the Over for +5.65 Units / 15.5% ROI
  • 13-20 when betting the Under for -8.9 Units / -24.62% ROI

Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida has a 15-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.75 Units / -10.3% ROI).

  • 18-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 5.01% ROI
  • 21-11 when betting the Over for +8.9 Units / 24.48% ROI
  • 11-21 when betting the Under for -12.05 Units / -33.24% ROI

Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas A&M has averaged 18.4 offensive rebounds per game (387 rebounds/21 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.0

Texas A&M is shooting 26% from three (137/518) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Texas A&M is shooting 26% from three (137/518) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Texas A&M has a TS% of 42% this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 48%

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 16.0 offensive rebounds per game (369 rebounds/23 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Florida has averaged 16.0 offensive rebounds per game (369 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.0

Florida has 24.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Florida has averaged 84.7 points per game (1,949 points/23 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 76.1

Texas A&M Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas A&M has averaged 6.8 steals per game (231 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas A&M has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (177/525) this season — tied for 3rd highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Texas A&M has allowed 34.9 points per game (732 points/21 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 38.1

Texas A&M has allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (732 points/606 shots) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 28.5 defensive rebounds per game (655 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Florida has averaged 6.8 steals per game (382 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Florida has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,524 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Florida has averaged 6.8 steals per game (237 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.