Texas vs Houston Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 17, 2024, 8:14 AM
  • Houston (11-12) is a -10.5 point favorite vs Texas (9-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 131.5 points
  • Texas / Houston TV channel: CBS

The Texas Longhorns (9-15) visit Fertitta Center to take on the Houston Cougars (11-12) on Feb. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Houston, TX.

Houston is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Texas vs. Houston Over/Under is 131.5 total points.

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Texas vs. Houston Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas+10.5 -110O 131.5 -115+400
Houston -10.5 -110U 131.5 -105-550

Texas vs Houston Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Houston will win this college basketball game with 84.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Texas vs Houston Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Houston will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 36 games (+13.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+3.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+3.75 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 36 games (+2.30 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 35 games (+18.60 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 24 games (+8.85 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.20 Units / 8% ROI)

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has a 9-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.55 Units / -28.54% ROI).

  • 11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -1.32% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 3.38% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Under for -3.15 Units / -12% ROI

Houston Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Houston has a 12-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / -0.38% ROI).

  • 12-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.9 Units / 6.87% ROI
  • 9-15 when betting the Over for -7.45 Units / -28.27% ROI
  • 15-9 when betting the Under for +5.1 Units / 19.28% ROI

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas averaged 1.49 points per shot (73 points/49 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas had an eFG% of 63% in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 53%

Texas averaged 4.8 turnovers per game (152 turnovers/32 games) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Texas is shooting 41% from three (102/250) in the first half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

Houston Offensive Stats & Trends:

Houston has averaged 14.7 offensive rebounds per game (339 rebounds/23 games) this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 11.4

Houston has averaged 14.7 offensive rebounds per game (339 rebounds/23 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.0

Houston has averaged 14.7 offensive rebounds per game (339 rebounds/23 games) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Houston has averaged 8.9 turnovers per game (204 turnovers/23 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three off the dribble (13/28) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 57% on catch and shoot opportunities (12/21) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Texas allowed an average of 1.88 points per shot (60 points/32 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas allowed 4.4 made three-pointers per game last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 5.3

Houston Defensive Stats & Trends:

Houston has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (370/1,315) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Houston has allowed 56.3 points per game (3,377 points/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.1

Houston has averaged 10.1 steals per game (232 steals/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Houston has allowed 30.1 points per game (693 points/23 games) in the second half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.