Texas State vs Troy Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 24, 2024, 10:44 AM
  • Troy (11-4) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Texas State (7-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Texas State / Troy TV channel: ESPN+

The Texas State Bobcats (7-10) visit Trojan Arena to take on the Troy Trojans (11-4) on Jan. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Troy, AL.

Troy is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Texas State vs. Troy Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Texas State vs. Troy Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas State+8.5 -110O 138.5 -115+320
Troy -8.5 -110U 138.5 -105-400

Texas State vs Troy Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Troy will win this college basketball game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Texas State vs Troy Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Texas State have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 19 away games (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 18 away games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+10.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+6.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+3.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+1.80 Units / 7% ROI)

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has a 7-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4 Units / -21.39% ROI).

  • 5-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -32.9% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI

Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Troy has a 11-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.45 Units / 36.03% ROI).

  • 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.19% ROI
  • 8-7 when betting the Over for +0.3 Units / 1.7% ROI
  • 7-8 when betting the Under for -1.8 Units / -10.23% ROI

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has made 4.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Texas State has made 4.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Texas State has averaged 13.1 turnovers per game (248 turnovers/19 games) this season — 4th highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Texas State has made 4.8 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Troy has averaged 13.6 turnovers per game (258 turnovers/19 games) this season — highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Troy has 22.7 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Troy has averaged 14.9 assists per game (283 assists/19 games) this season — 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Troy has averaged 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (233 rebounds/19 games) this season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 10.4

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,201 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Texas State has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,201 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Texas State has averaged 6.3 steals per game (120 steals/19 games) this season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Texas State has averaged 6.3 steals per game (340 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Troy has averaged 10.2 steals per game (193 steals/19 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Troy has 193 steals this season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Troy has averaged 9.2 steals per game (481 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Troy has averaged 23.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,220 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.