Texas Tech vs UCF Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 24

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Central Florida head coach Johnny Dawkins reacts to a call during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Auburn Wednesday, Dec. 1, 2021, in Auburn, Ala.
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 24, 2024, 11:09 AM
  • UCF (14-11) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Texas Tech (11-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Texas Tech / UCF TV channel: ESPN+

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (11-14) visit Addition Financial Arena to take on the UCF Knights (14-11) on Feb. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Orlando, FL.

UCF is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Texas Tech vs. UCF Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Texas Tech vs. UCF Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas Tech+1.5 -120O 139.5 -115-110
UCF -1.5 +100U 139.5 -105-110

Texas Tech vs UCF Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Texas Tech vs UCF Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas Tech will cover the spread with 61.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+5.25 Units / 3% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+8.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+4.90 Units / 7% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.20 Units / 3% ROI)

Texas Tech Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas Tech has a 11-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.4 Units / -15.33% ROI).

  • 17-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +11 Units / 6.05% ROI
  • 17-9 when betting the Over for +7.1 Units / 24.83% ROI
  • 9-17 when betting the Under for -9.7 Units / -33.92% ROI

UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCF has a 14-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.05 Units / 11.58% ROI).

  • 10-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -8.47% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Over for -2.15 Units / -8.1% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech attempted 43 threes on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech attempted 43 shots on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech made 0.3 three-pointers per game in transition last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Texas Tech had a TS% of 43% on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCF is shooting 42% (945/2,253) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 45%

UCF has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (248 assists/ 263 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

UCF is shooting 74% from the free throw line (763/1,027) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

UCF has 218 turnovers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd fewest among AAC Teams

Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech allowed 25.4 points per game (457 points/18 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Texas Tech allowed opponents to shoot 35% on catch and shoot opportunities (72/204) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Texas Tech allowed 29.1 points per game (523 points/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.2

Texas Tech allowed opponents to shoot 34% on catch and shoot opportunities (15/44) in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 48%

UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCF has 182 steals this season — 4th most among Big 12 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.